sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

hellojosh

0x551…1c6c
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,088vol $56.0k
PnL 30d−$89gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.69win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate82.7%adj 79.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,476cash n/a
Positions43 / 208open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$939below peak −$1,117Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 82.7% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No55075.7¢100¢$550+$134$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes50086.5¢100¢$500+$67$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No45088.2¢97¢$436+$39$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No20083¢94.7¢$189+$23$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No11293¢100¢$112+$7.86$0
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?No10493.8¢100¢$104+$6.44$0
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?No10090.8¢100¢$100+$9.20$0
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?No10091¢100¢$100+$9.00$0
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No10075¢97.6¢$98+$23$0
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No10072¢97¢$97+$25$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No5079¢100¢$50+$11$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No3694.9¢100¢$36+$1.84$0
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No3060¢96¢$29+$11$0
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No3068¢95.5¢$29+$8.25$0
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes3536¢69.9¢$24+$12$0
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?No2089¢100¢$20+$2.20$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes2737¢3.8¢$1.01−$8.99$0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes93223.9¢0¢$0−$223$0
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No61569.6¢0¢$0−$428$0
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 29?No44285.1¢0¢$0−$376$0
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March?No36592.8¢0¢$0−$338−$8.61
Will Trump sue the BBC?No27577.3¢0¢$0−$212$0
US bank failure by January 31?No20094¢0¢$0−$188$0
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No20095¢0¢$0−$190$0
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No13075.8¢0¢$0−$98$0
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo1204.2¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 25?Yes10013¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No1009.9¢0¢$0−$9.90$0
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No5079.8¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 31?Yes3850¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?No3488.4¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on October 27?No3032¢0¢$0−$9.60$0
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?No3057¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?No2673¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?No2056¢0¢$0−$11$0
CME list sports event contracts by December 31?No2054¢0¢$0−$11$0
North Korea missile launch by November 15?No2082¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 26?Yes1857¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 31?No1070¢0¢$0−$7.00$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Yes1060¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?Yes1047¢0¢$0−$4.70$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 29?Yes1030¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?No364¢0¢$0−$1.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?86¢593$51083%35
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?81.9¢493$40383%35
SELL NoWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?70¢300$21083%35
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?94¢50$4783%35
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?95¢50$4783%35
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?85¢50$4383%35
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?94¢20$1983%35
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?93.6¢44$4283%35
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?90.8¢100$9183%35
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?91¢100$9183%35
SELL NoWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?45.5¢238$10883%35
SELL NoWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?90.6¢336$30583%35
SELL NoWill Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March?34.7¢15$5.1483%35
SELL NoWill Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?87.4¢87$7683%35
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,500-$5,625 in March?97¢63$6183%35
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March?93.9¢248$23383%35
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March?90.7¢132$12083%35
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?99.3¢50$5083%35
BUY NoUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?63¢200$12683%35
SELL YesWill Trump visit China by April 30?56¢120$6783%35