Traders/Rank #2,473

i2dt

0x552…e5b9

SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Politics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$16.5kvol $1.28M

PnL 30d+$3,873gains $1,176 · losses $410

PnL 7d+$319win rate 7d 72.4%

Win rate70.6%adj 69.8% · 30d 70.3%

Open value$69.9kcash n/a

Positions560 / 2,249open / all-time

Max drawdown−7.3%of equity peak

Account age12molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$22.4kbelow peak −$76Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60

Adjusted win rateraw 70.6% · shrunk toward 50%75

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yesopen+$1,459 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yesopen+$513 Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? · Yesclosed+$474 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen+$401 Will Timothy Wilcox win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? · Noclosed+$393

Worst markets

Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? · Yesclosed−$266 Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee? · Yesclosed−$232 Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election? · Yesclosed−$189 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? · Yesclosed−$181 Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? · Yesclosed−$138

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	5,532	33.3¢	57.9¢	$3,200	+$1,356	+$103	ended
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	3,316	90.3¢	96¢	$3,184	+$190	+$74	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	2,831	94.4¢	96.9¢	$2,743	+$72	$0	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat?	No	2,105	95¢	96.5¢	$2,030	+$31	+$12	25d 18h
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	1,716	96.1¢	96.6¢	$1,657	+$8.50	−$0.62	3mo
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	1,529	91.9¢	93¢	$1,421	+$16	+$9.12	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	1,683	76¢	80.5¢	$1,354	+$75	$0	25d 18h
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	1,374	92.7¢	96.5¢	$1,326	+$53	+$137	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?	Yes	1,353	94.1¢	97¢	$1,312	+$39	+$16	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?	No	1,287	95¢	96.7¢	$1,245	+$22	+$21	25d 18h
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	1,261	91.1¢	88.5¢	$1,116	−$33	+$30	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?	Yes	1,040	94.4¢	96.3¢	$1,002	+$19	+$0.74	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?	No	1,002	95¢	97.3¢	$974	+$23	+$8.76	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-07 House seat?	Yes	902	95¢	96.1¢	$866	+$9.47	+$0.80	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?	Yes	862	94.7¢	97.8¢	$843	+$27	+$11	25d 18h
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	30.2k	1.2¢	2.6¢	$769	+$401	$0	25mo
Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?	No	793	94.5¢	96.9¢	$768	+$19	+$2.45	25d 18h
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	785	81.7¢	96.4¢	$757	+$115	+$9.43	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?	Yes	779	94.6¢	96.7¢	$753	+$16	+$0.50	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?	No	752	95¢	96.5¢	$725	+$11	+$2.03	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat?	Yes	752	95¢	96.2¢	$723	+$8.64	+$4.06	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-10 House seat?	Yes	696	94¢	96.4¢	$671	+$17	+$3.19	25d 18h
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	664	94.9¢	98.5¢	$654	+$24	+$4.32	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?	Yes	675	93¢	95.1¢	$642	+$14	+$15	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	671	94.3¢	95.7¢	$642	+$9.15	+$6.02	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?	Yes	660	94.7¢	96.2¢	$635	+$9.91	$0	25d 18h
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	689	87.8¢	90¢	$620	+$15	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-03 House seat?	No	619	95¢	96.6¢	$598	+$9.60	+$6.90	25d 18h
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	582	82.6¢	96.4¢	$560	+$80	+$25	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	596	84.1¢	90.5¢	$539	+$38	+$3.90	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-10 House seat?	No	556	95¢	96.4¢	$536	+$7.79	$0	25d 18h
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	539	64.5¢	87.5¢	$472	+$124	+$4.53	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	505	84¢	90.5¢	$457	+$33	+$12	25d 18h
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	472	92.2¢	95.5¢	$450	+$16	+$175	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-02 House seat?	Yes	458	94¢	97¢	$444	+$14	+$1.07	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?	No	451	95¢	96.9¢	$437	+$8.57	+$0.43	25d 18h
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	474	87.1¢	89.5¢	$424	+$12	$0	15mo
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	427	83.9¢	96.7¢	$413	+$55	+$20	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-25 House seat?	Yes	429	95¢	96¢	$412	+$4.50	+$2.72	25d 18h
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	434	94.4¢	94¢	$407	−$2.16	$0	25d 18h
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	421	88.9¢	95.8¢	$404	+$29	+$14	25d 18h
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	763	41.2¢	52.5¢	$401	+$87	−$0.28	25d 18h
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	532	81.5¢	73.5¢	$391	−$43	$0	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-30 House seat?	Yes	408	93¢	95.5¢	$390	+$10	+$24	25d 18h
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	406	91.8¢	95.6¢	$388	+$16	+$28	25d 18h
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	494	18.1¢	76.8¢	$379	+$289	+$224	25d 18h
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	394	93.3¢	95.5¢	$376	+$8.56	+$78	3mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	450	84.7¢	82.2¢	$370	−$11	+$2.33	25mo
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	628	35.3¢	57.5¢	$361	+$139	+$13	ended
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-12 House seat?	No	350	95¢	95.4¢	$334	+$1.40	+$1.22	25d 18h
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	341	84.5¢	96.6¢	$329	+$41	+$301	3mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 18% or more?	No	330	75.2¢	98.9¢	$326	+$78	$0	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat?	No	329	95¢	97.7¢	$321	+$8.71	+$14	25d 18h
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Yes	360	85¢	89¢	$321	+$14	+$4.26	ended
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	334	92.2¢	93.5¢	$312	+$4.49	+$34	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-31 House seat?	Yes	325	94.9¢	95.5¢	$310	+$1.71	$0	25d 18h
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	346	78.6¢	89.5¢	$310	+$38	+$10	25d 18h
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	315	91.8¢	92.5¢	$291	+$2.24	+$1.30	3mo
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	314	91.6¢	92¢	$289	+$1.19	+$4.16	25d 18h
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	332	61.4¢	86.5¢	$287	+$83	+$0.28	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?	Yes	292	95¢	96¢	$280	+$2.92	$0	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	289	96¢	96.8¢	$280	+$2.03	$0	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-19 House seat?	Yes	278	95¢	98.8¢	$274	+$11	$0	25d 18h
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	Yes	278	93.8¢	97.4¢	$271	+$9.76	+$9.65	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 0%-45%?	No	270	66.4¢	98.8¢	$267	+$87	$0	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 25%-30%?	No	276	66.7¢	96.6¢	$266	+$82	$0	25d 18h
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,696	7.7¢	7.1¢	$262	−$22	−$7.73	25mo
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	296	87.1¢	88.5¢	$262	+$4.24	+$0.38	15mo
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	277	83.8¢	91.5¢	$254	+$21	+$2.20	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-04 House seat?	No	265	94¢	95.5¢	$253	+$3.96	+$4.20	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat?	No	251	95¢	99.3¢	$249	+$11	$0	25d 18h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	301	64.3¢	81.5¢	$245	+$52	$0	3mo
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	265	82.9¢	91.5¢	$243	+$23	+$6.99	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?	No	251	95¢	95.5¢	$239	+$1.25	+$1.50	25d 18h
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	261	83.1¢	89.5¢	$234	+$17	+$8.80	25d 18h
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,616	4.4¢	5.1¢	$233	+$29	+$15	25mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 60%-65%?	No	228	62.6¢	99.5¢	$227	+$84	+$14	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	232	91.9¢	96.6¢	$224	+$11	+$94	25d 18h
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	422	64.3¢	51.6¢	$218	−$54	+$3.64	25mo
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 15%-25%?	No	224	63.6¢	96.2¢	$216	+$73	$0	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?	No	224	94.6¢	94.5¢	$212	−$0.12	+$1.00	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the MA-01 House seat?	No	212	96¢	97¢	$206	+$2.12	+$3.50	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-36 House seat?	Yes	209	94.4¢	97¢	$202	+$5.43	+$2.09	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the PA-15 House seat?	Yes	212	95¢	95.2¢	$202	+$0.42	$0	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	233	85¢	86¢	$201	+$2.23	−$1.75	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 60%-65%?	No	203	61.7¢	95.8¢	$194	+$69	$0	25d 18h
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky governor race in 2027?	Yes	238	62.6¢	81.5¢	$194	+$45	$0	13mo
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-08 House seat?	Yes	200	94.5¢	96.6¢	$193	+$4.10	+$0.50	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?	Yes	201	94¢	95¢	$191	+$1.97	+$1.15	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 0%-5%?	No	201	61.8¢	94.8¢	$191	+$66	$0	25d 18h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-33 House seat?	No	198	93.4¢	95.5¢	$189	+$4.16	+$0.05	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?	Yes	187	95¢	96.1¢	$179	+$1.96	+$1.05	25d 18h
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	463	17.9¢	38.5¢	$178	+$95	$0	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 0%-5%?	No	184	88¢	96.8¢	$178	+$16	$0	25d 18h
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	185	93.8¢	95¢	$176	+$2.07	+$8.08	3mo
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,071	5.2¢	15.1¢	$161	+$105	+$38	25mo
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?	Yes	241	62.7¢	65.5¢	$158	+$6.81	$0	25d 18h
Will an Independent win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?	No	163	0¢	96.1¢	$157	+$157	$0	25d 18h
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?	Yes	162	93¢	95.6¢	$155	+$4.22	+$1.03	25d 18h
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	244	53.6¢	62.5¢	$153	+$22	+$15	25d 18h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
9h ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 60% or more?	19¢	9	$1.71	71%	78	Sharp
12h ago	BUY No	Will the Republican Party win the CA-29 House seat?	95.4¢	100	$95	71%	78	Sharp
12h ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	94.4¢	2,831	$2,671	71%	78	Sharp
16h ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?	1¢	55	$0.57	71%	78	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?	64¢	51	$32	71%	78	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?	62¢	60	$37	71%	78	Sharp
3d ago	SELL No	Will the Republican Party win the OK-01 House seat?	5¢	200	$10	71%	78	Sharp
3d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?	96.4¢	111	$107	71%	78	Sharp
3d ago	SELL No	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	97.1¢	70	$68	71%	78	Sharp
4d ago	BUY No	Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?	95¢	251	$238	71%	78	Sharp
4d ago	BUY Yes	Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	0.9¢	92	$0.83	71%	78	Sharp
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?	0.2¢	150	$0.30	71%	78	Sharp
5d ago	BUY Yes	Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	0.4¢	20	$0.08	71%	78	Sharp
5d ago	BUY Yes	Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 0%-10%?	0.8¢	156	$1.21	71%	78	Sharp
5d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	75.5¢	103	$78	71%	78	Sharp
6d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	65¢	40	$26	71%	78	Sharp
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	58¢	50	$29	71%	78	Sharp
6d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	42¢	51	$22	71%	78	Sharp
6d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	42¢	256	$107	71%	78	Sharp
7d ago	SELL No	Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	99.9¢	46	$46	71%	78	Sharp