PnL all-time+$48vol $28.6k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate42.1%adj 46.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$850cash n/a
Positions7 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.3%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$48below peak −$32Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale24
Adjusted win rateraw 42.1% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? · Yesclosed+$54Will Bitcoin dip to $110K July 28–August 3? · Noclosed+$14Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference? · Yesclosed+$11Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6? · Noclosed+$3.06Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Noopen+$1.02
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? · Yesopen−$8.20Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 15 above $120? · Yesclosed−$4.55Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on October 16? · Yesopen−$4.50Will Solana reach $260 October 27-November 2? · Yesopen−$4.16Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 19? · Noclosed−$2.10
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 510 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $510 | +$1.02 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March? | No | 340 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $340 | +$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will Solana reach $260 October 27-November 2? | Yes | 557 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.16 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | Yes | 410 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.20 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | Yes | 380 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.14 | $0 | |
| Will XRP dip to $2.80 September 29-October 5? | Yes | 196 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on October 16? | Yes | 188 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.50 | $0 |
Recent trades
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