sharpside
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Traders/Rank #10,607

Lollipophwg

0x55f…8576
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$49vol $20.6k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate96.9%adj 78.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$109cash n/a
Positions50 / 82open / all-time
Max drawdown−42.4%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 9mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$49below peak −$418Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 96.9% · shrunk toward 50%97
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 50

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes10923¢100¢$109+$84$0
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?Yes2,1411.2¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?Yes1,5482¢0¢$0−$31$0
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes1,3161.9¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes8331.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes6676¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?Yes6671.6¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes6104¢0¢$0−$24$0
US strike on Colombia by January 31?Yes4635.4¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes4176¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.60 on January 12?Yes4005¢0¢$0−$20$0
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Yes33312¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes31814¢0¢$0−$45$0
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Yes3136.4¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?Yes2566¢0¢$0−$15$0
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes21413¢0¢$0−$28$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4?Down2007¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?Yes1768¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Yes17614¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes1726¢0¢$0−$10$0
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes15616¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes1400.5¢0¢$0−$0.67$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?Yes11513¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Yes10320¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?Yes10221¢0¢$0−$22$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes10010¢0¢$0−$10−$13
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes950.5¢0¢$0−$0.47$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes950.3¢0¢$0−$0.29$0
Maduro out in 2025?Yes950.9¢0¢$0−$0.85$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes9513.6¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?Yes950.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 29?Yes950.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes955.1¢0¢$0−$4.84$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes9111¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes9116.4¢0¢$0−$15$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes917¢0¢$0−$6.41$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes901.3¢0¢$0−$1.16$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Yes7235¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?Yes6623¢0¢$0−$15$0
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes6025¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes5735¢0¢$0−$20$0
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes5140¢0¢$0−$20+$9.47
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? No4040¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Gian van Veen win the PDC World Darts Championship?Yes4020.2¢0¢$0−$8.08$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes3721.9¢0¢$0−$8.17$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3?Up3728¢0¢$0−$10$0
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes2538¢0¢$0−$9.60$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes2015¢0¢$0−$3.03$0
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No2012¢0¢$0−$2.42$0
No airdrop in 2025?Yes1613.5¢0¢$0−$2.17−$7.84

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 10?6.4¢313$2097%32
BUY YesWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?6¢417$2597%32
BUY YesMaduro mugshot released by January 9?12¢43$5.1497%32
BUY YesUS strike on Colombia by January 31?5.4¢463$2597%32
BUY YesWill Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?1.8¢833$1597%32
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?1.6¢667$1197%32
BUY YesUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?16¢156$2597%32
BUY YesWill the price of XRP be greater than $2.60 on January 12?5¢400$2097%32
BUY YesUS government shutdown Saturday?23¢109$2597%32
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?1.5¢1,000$1597%32
BUY YesWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?6¢667$4097%32
BUY YesU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?1.9¢1,316$2597%32
SELL YesWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?96.1¢16$1597%32
BUY YesKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?11¢91$1097%32
BUY YesIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?25¢60$1597%32
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?11¢27$2.9897%32
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?20¢84$1797%32
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?8¢121$9.6897%32
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?13¢115$1597%32
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?23¢83$1997%32