sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,788

TwoTierKeir

0x560…1480
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$60.6kvol $1.01M
PnL 30d+$426gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$167win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate84.6%adj 76.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$28.0kcash n/a
Positions26 / 91open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$57.8kbelow peak −$57.8kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 84.6% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No15.2k90.9¢98.7¢$15.0k+$1,173$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No10.8k83.9¢97¢$10.5k+$1,414$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,00031.6¢98.5¢$984+$668$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,00024.4¢15.5¢$773−$448$0
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No39588.2¢96.8¢$382+$34$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No60066.2¢59.5¢$357−$40$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes11845¢0.3¢$0.35−$53$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes50.0k99¢0¢$0−$49.5k$0
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes23.3k3.1¢0¢$0−$720$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes4,0003.5¢0¢$0−$142$0
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?No2,50018¢0¢$0−$450$0
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes2,5002.3¢0¢$0−$58$0
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovMakhmudov2,00014¢0¢$0−$280$0
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?No1,1610.9¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes1,0007¢0¢$0−$70$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No80089¢0¢$0−$712$0
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes74488¢0¢$0−$655$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes69919.9¢0¢$0−$139$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes69899¢0¢$0−$691$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No50065¢0¢$0−$325$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?No50033¢0¢$0−$165$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?No50048¢0¢$0−$240$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?Yes4460.5¢0¢$0−$2.23$0
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?Yes34576.2¢0¢$0−$263−$134
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes30018¢0¢$0−$54$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes15025¢0¢$0−$38$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoStarmer out by May 15, 2026?68.9¢5,382$3,70885%24
BUY NoEpstein suicide note released by May 8?99.7¢10.0k$9,97085%24
SELL YesEpstein suicide note released by May 8?10.5¢141$1585%24
SELL YesCritical Discord Incident by May 31?40¢150$6085%24
SELL YesCritical Discord Incident by May 31?40¢200$8085%24
BUY YesCritical Discord Incident by May 31?78¢600$46885%24
BUY YesWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?99.3¢2,794$2,77485%24
BUY YesQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?99.7¢17.3k$17.2k85%24Whale
BUY YesWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?99.8¢26.5k$26.4k85%24Whale
BUY YesWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?94.3¢3,353$3,16285%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?99.8¢7,970$7,95485%24
SELL YesIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?99.8¢3,000$2,99485%24
BUY NoWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?99.7¢5,560$5,54385%24
SELL NoWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?75.1¢361$27285%24
SELL NoWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?77¢22$1785%24
SELL NoWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?76¢255$19485%24
SELL NoWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?77¢410$31685%24
SELL NoWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?79¢357$28285%24
SELL NoWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?80.7¢1,391$1,12285%24
SELL NoWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?82¢1,250$1,02585%24