PnL all-time−$2,200vol $42.2k
PnL 30d+$20gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$20win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,466cash n/a
Positions3 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 18h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,181below peak −$3,404Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$620US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Noclosed+$157Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Noclosed+$62Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$30Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31? · Yesclosed+$23
Worst markets
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? · Yesopen−$1,935TikTok sale announced by October 31? · Yesclosed−$594Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher? · Noclosed−$225Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Noclosed−$124Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? · Yesopen−$98
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3,910 | 37¢ | 37.5¢ | $1,466 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | 11.7k | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,935 | $0 | |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 655 | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | $0 |
Recent trades
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