sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,274

geowatch

0x564…5d21
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsWeatherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,649vol $176k
PnL 30d−$501gains $328 · losses $707
PnL 7d−$101win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate89.1%adj 85.3% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$6,814cash n/a
Positions84 / 268open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.5%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,003below peak −$562Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 89.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 84

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes2,22290¢89.5¢$1,989−$11$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No1,08891.9¢98.5¢$1,072+$72$0
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? No1,08292.4¢97.9¢$1,059+$59$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes1,28977.6¢76.5¢$986−$14$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes52295.8¢95¢$496−$4.22$0
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No40075¢74.5¢$298−$2.00$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No13772.7¢92.5¢$127+$27$0
5kt meteor strike in 2026?No14370¢82.5¢$118+$18$0
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No11984.1¢95¢$113+$13$0
SBF released from custody in 2026?No11488¢98.5¢$112+$12$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No12282¢91.5¢$112+$12$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No11190¢97.1¢$108+$7.89$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes11170.1¢96¢$107+$29+$50
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No2969.3¢91¢$26+$6.26$0
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes7864¢23.7¢$19−$31$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1825.5¢7¢$13+$2.64$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes3263¢39.5¢$13−$7.46$0
New pandemic in 2026?No1189¢95.5¢$11+$0.73$0
Ebola pandemic in 2026?No1193¢98.1¢$11+$0.54$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No1193.6¢98.3¢$10+$0.50$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No1194.2¢98.9¢$10+$0.49$0
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes3528.9¢17.7¢$6.11−$3.89$0
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes1,01549.3¢0¢$0−$500−$13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?No74440.3¢0¢$0−$300−$7.16
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes54991¢0¢$0−$500−$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 2?Yes5001¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.25
Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes20924¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes1900.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?No17058.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes16760¢0¢$0−$100−$1.20
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Yes14840.6¢0¢$0−$60−$1.78
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes12381¢0¢$0−$100−$0.57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 10?Yes1152.6¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 12?Yes10341.9¢0¢$0−$43−$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 1?Yes9453¢0¢$0−$50−$1.18
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes8658¢0¢$0−$50−$0.63
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes8658¢0¢$0−$50−$0.63
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in September?No8312¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?No762.6¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.10
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo7468¢0¢$0−$50−$0.48
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes7468¢0¢$0−$50−$0.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp6024.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes5040¢0¢$0−$20−$0.36
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes432.3¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp3731.4¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 3?Yes313.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 24?Yes3132¢0¢$0−$10−$0.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown3066.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11?Yes263.8¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp2685.3¢0¢$0−$22$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETDown2423.3¢0¢$0−$5.62$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 10?Yes2322¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 1?Yes2147¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown205¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETUp1838¢0¢$0−$7.00−$0.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown1828.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp1828.5¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-06-13?Yes1757.4¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp1722.5¢0¢$0−$3.78$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp1718.1¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown1630.6¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown1686.3¢0¢$0−$14$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown1663.9¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown1413.9¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp1471.7¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown1240.6¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown1250.8¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?Yes1243¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp1144¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETDown1038.1¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp1050.7¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown933¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp933.6¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp859¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown837.7¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown825.4¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown714¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETDown633.2¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp545¢0¢$0−$2.47−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETDown559¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETDown539.8¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp564.1¢0¢$0−$3.20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp544¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown437.5¢0¢$0−$1.32$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?92¢2,174$2,00089%81Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?95.8¢522$50089%81Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?90¢2,222$2,00089%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?25.9¢1,252$32489%81Sharp
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?82¢122$10089%81Sharp
BUY NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?91.9¢1,088$1,00089%81Sharp
BUY NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 202697.7¢2,047$2,00089%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? 92.4¢1,082$1,00089%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?40.3¢744$30089%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in September?12¢83$1089%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?79.9¢1,252$1,00089%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?77¢1,299$1,00089%81Sharp
BUY YesAnthropic IPO before 2027?77.6¢1,289$1,00089%81Sharp
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?96.8¢14.7k$14.3k89%81WhaleSharp
BUY NothingNothing Ever Happens: July85.2¢1,174$1,00089%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 24?32¢31$1089%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?95.6¢1,046$1,00089%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?74¢122$9089%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?70¢143$10089%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?82¢366$30089%81Sharp