sharpside
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Traders/Rank #8,530

honk75

0x565…66a6
WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$11.7kvol $618k
PnL 30d−$2,017gains $6,756 · losses $4,376
PnL 7d−$941win rate 7d 81.3%
Win rate79.2%adj 78.1% · 30d 76.9%
Open value$8,314cash n/a
Positions85 / 1,516open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$12.5kbelow peak −$13.1kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 79.2% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? · Downclosed+$783Ethereum Up or Down on October 9? · Upclosed+$679Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? · Upclosed+$611Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yesclosed+$607Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31? · Downclosed+$381

Worst markets

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$1,928Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7? · Yesopen−$1,484Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? · Yesopen−$810Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? · Yesclosed−$645Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20? · Noclosed−$622

Open positions · 28

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes1,21768.1¢76.5¢$931+$102$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?No94596.8¢97.4¢$920+$5.29+$14
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?No90094.5¢92¢$827−$23+$106
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?No1,30848.8¢61.5¢$805+$167$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes88381.7¢74.5¢$658−$63$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?No1,82055.2¢34.5¢$628−$376$0
Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?No74288.9¢84.5¢$627−$33−$2.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?No91066.4¢68.5¢$624+$20$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes7,85323.6¢5.5¢$432−$1,420−$508
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Yes65077¢52.5¢$341−$160$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?No42171.3¢78.5¢$331+$31$0
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?No69242.1¢38.5¢$266−$25$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?No32861¢80.5¢$264+$64$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?No28271¢85.5¢$241+$41$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?Yes15763.6¢85.5¢$134+$34$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?Yes10656.8¢66¢$70+$9.76$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 15?No5984.6¢84.5¢$50−$0.05$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 14?No4490¢89.7¢$40−$0.13$0
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No4785¢84¢$40−$0.47$0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes4751¢42.5¢$20−$3.97$0
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes3067.8¢57¢$17−$3.18$0
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?Yes1290.7¢90.4¢$11−$0.03$0
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes4323¢22.5¢$9.78−$0.22$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?Yes1260¢79.5¢$9.28+$2.27$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1241.1¢42.2¢$5.13+$0.13$0
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?Yes1660.7¢29¢$4.78−$5.22$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?No956¢44.5¢$3.97−$1.03$0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Yes362¢81¢$2.61+$0.61$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 14?77¢26$2079%44
BUY NoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 16?96.8¢620$60079%44
BUY YesWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 14?97¢412$40079%44
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 13?98.4¢298$29379%44
SELL NoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?99.4¢298$29679%44
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 13?96¢320$30779%44
SELL NoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?98.7¢312$30879%44
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 13?85¢12$1079%44
BUY YesWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?56.8¢106$6079%44
BUY NoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?98.1¢611$60079%44
SELL YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?99.4¢675$67179%44
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?43.4¢728$31679%44
SELL NoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?99¢334$33179%44
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?60¢12$7.0079%44
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?63.6¢157$10079%44
BUY NoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 15?84.6¢59$5079%44
BUY NoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 14?90¢44$4079%44
BUY NoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?94.3¢668$63079%44
SELL NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?99.9¢819$81879%44
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?64¢31$2079%44