sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,123

apiwat

0x567…e2d2@0xB0AtTT
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+CryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,938vol $310k
PnL 30d+$932gains $1,191 · losses $2.78
PnL 7d+$238win rate 7d 93.3%
Win rate95.5%adj 92.7% · 30d 97.8%
Open value$6,799cash n/a
Positions39 / 348open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,110below peak −$1,039Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 95.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity3

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? · Noclosed+$645Will Solana reach $100 in May? · Noclosed+$419Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Noclosed+$341Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Noclosed+$187Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$174

Worst markets

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,300Will Solana reach $100 in May? · Yesclosed−$856Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by August 31? · Noopen−$388MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$346Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11B by September 30? · Noopen−$119

Open positions · 39

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US recession by end of 2026?No1,56291.4¢92.5¢$1,445+$17$0
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?Yes1,00094.3¢90.4¢$904−$39$0
Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?No68376.3¢60¢$410−$111+$7.90
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?No40596.8¢96.5¢$390−$1.42+$1.37
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?No40593.7¢92.5¢$375−$4.97$0
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?No37392.7¢93.5¢$349+$2.85$0
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No38990¢83.5¢$325−$25$0
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No30092¢95.3¢$286+$9.90$0
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?Yes34177.1¢82¢$280+$17$0
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?No29086¢94.5¢$274+$25$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?No20091.3¢96¢$192+$9.30$0
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?No19893¢94.7¢$187+$3.27$0
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No18886.1¢97.2¢$182+$21$0
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No17090¢96¢$163+$10$0
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?No19689.6¢82.5¢$162−$14$0
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No15295.1¢93.6¢$142−$2.29$0
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?No14792.4¢90¢$132−$3.53$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?No11192¢96.5¢$107+$4.94$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No10089.9¢95.7¢$96+$5.75$0
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?No10485¢91.5¢$95+$6.77$0
Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026?No9194¢97¢$88+$2.68$0
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?No8791.7¢90¢$78−$1.49$0
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?Yes10063¢59.5¢$60−$3.50$0
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?No5886.5¢87.7¢$50+$0.69$0
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?No4167¢67¢$27$0$0
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by August 31?No39598.2¢0¢$0−$388−$0.27
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No30033.7¢0¢$0−$101$0
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2402.7¢0¢$0−$6.59−$0.09
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11B by September 30?No15575.7¢0¢$0−$118−$1.14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?No12375.9¢0¢$0−$93−$1.12
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No11863.7¢0¢$0−$75−$38
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes10093¢0¢$0−$93$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No10029¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes721.4¢0¢$0−$1.01−$0.03
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?No5098.9¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes454.3¢0¢$0−$1.93−$0.06
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?Up2614¢0¢$0−$3.64$0
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes2066¢0¢$0−$13$0
Ethereum Up or Down on April 25?Up1626¢0¢$0−$4.16$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoMultipli.fi FDV above $1B one day after launch?96¢95$9196%58
BUY NoLAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?99.7¢917$91496%58
BUY NoLAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?99.6¢269$26896%58
SELL NoLinera FDV above $1B one day after launch?94.9¢149$14196%58
SELL NoLinera FDV above $500M one day after launch?92¢129$11896%58
BUY NoEthos FDV above $50M one day after launch?97.1¢950$92396%58
BUY NoLAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?99.5¢66$6696%58
BUY NoEthos FDV above $35M one day after launch?39¢50$2096%58
SELL YesEthos FDV above $25M one day after launch?98.3¢0$0.2096%58
BUY YesWill Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?98.9¢91$9096%58
BUY YesWill Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?99.3¢173$17296%58
BUY YesWill Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?78¢40$3196%58
BUY YesWill Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?76.6¢201$15496%58
BUY YesWill Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?94.4¢1,000$94496%58
BUY YesEthos FDV above $25M one day after launch?98.1¢159$15696%58
BUY NoOver $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?99.4¢749$74596%58
BUY NoUmia listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?99.4¢170$16996%58
BUY NoConcrete FDV above $800M one day after launch?90.2¢50$4596%58
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by September 30?97.2¢60$5896%58
BUY NoWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by September 30?90.8¢62$5796%58