PnL all-time−$407vol $2,121
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$137cash n/a
Positions3 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.3%of equity peak
Account age3.9ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$407below peak $0Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
11/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Everton win on 2024-10-19? · Yesclosed+$98Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? · Yesclosed+$74Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) · Yesclosed+$69Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024? · Noopen+$47Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? · Yesclosed+$12
Worst markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$438Will England win the 2022 World Cup? · Yesclosed−$75Will Everton win on 2024-10-26? · Yesclosed−$50[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$50Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings? · Noclosed−$50
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024? | No | 117 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $117 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship? | Yes | 20 | 76¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$4.80 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 39.7¢ | 378 | $150 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship? | 76¢ | 20 | $15 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY No | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | 86¢ | 30 | $26 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Everton win on 2024-10-26? | 36¢ | 139 | $50 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 35.5¢ | 28 | $10 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 35.7¢ | 168 | $60 | 50% | 11 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Everton win on 2024-10-19? | 81¢ | 200 | $162 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Everton win on 2024-10-19? | 31¢ | 100 | $31 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 39.1¢ | 200 | $78 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Everton win on 2024-10-19? | 33¢ | 100 | $33 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 39.3¢ | 100 | $39 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 44.1¢ | 227 | $100 | 50% | 11 | |||
| BUY No | Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024? | 60¢ | 117 | $70 | 50% | 11 |