PnL all-time−$197kvol $4.42M
PnL 30d−$25.7kgains $18.7k · losses $80.0k
PnL 7d+$47.6kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.4%adj 57.1% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$523kcash n/a
Positions5 / 120open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$189kbelow peak −$273kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 58.4% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$45.5kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$32.0kWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$19.6kFed rate hike in 2026? · Yesclosed+$18.7kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$17.9k
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$80.0kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$70.2kWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$65.6kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$54.0kWill Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · Noclosed−$46.1k
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 250k | 71.7¢ | 73.5¢ | $184k | +$4,513 | −$154 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 202k | 66.8¢ | 60.5¢ | $122k | −$12.7k | −$227 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100k | 85.2¢ | 88.5¢ | $88.5k | +$3,309 | −$80 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 161k | 62.1¢ | 41¢ | $66.0k | −$33.9k | −$2,498 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 70.0k | 82.5¢ | 89¢ | $62.3k | +$4,516 | +$5,159 |
Recent trades
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