PnL all-time$0vol $2,029
PnL 30d−$234gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$234win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$450cash n/a
Positions5 / 5open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.4%of equity peak
Account age2dlast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$112below peak −$14Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable23
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · Yesopen−$236Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$2.14Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$2.06Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? · Yesopen−$0.23
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 974 | 66.7¢ | 42.5¢ | $414 | −$236 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | Yes | 278 | 3.6¢ | 4¢ | $11 | +$1.11 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? | Yes | 45 | 21¢ | 20.5¢ | $9.29 | −$0.23 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | Yes | 588 | 1.7¢ | 1.4¢ | $7.94 | −$2.06 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 143 | 7¢ | 5.5¢ | $7.86 | −$2.14 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? | 21¢ | 45 | $9.52 | 0% | 22 | |||
| BUY Yes | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 7¢ | 143 | $10 | 0% | 22 | |||
| BUY Yes | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | 3.6¢ | 278 | $10 | 0% | 22 | |||
| BUY Yes | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | 1.7¢ | 588 | $10 | 0% | 22 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | 66.7¢ | 974 | $650 | 0% | 22 |