sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

BFBB

0x575…e515
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$97.9kvol $6.81M
PnL 30d+$3,317gains $6,016 · losses $11
PnL 7d+$510win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate72.2%adj 71.3% · 30d 93.3%
Open value$57.1kcash n/a
Positions383 / 2,288open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.7%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$104kbelow peak −$10.3kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 72.2% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No35.0k50¢51.6¢$18.0k+$543$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes35.0k50¢48.4¢$17.0k−$543$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No5,81156.2¢94.5¢$5,492+$2,224$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No6,66664¢69.5¢$4,633+$367$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes5,06647.5¢63.5¢$3,217+$811$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No3,33362¢62.5¢$2,083+$17$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No2,19917¢93.5¢$2,056+$1,682+$13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,22277¢82.5¢$1,833+$122$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No1,58763¢73.5¢$1,167+$167$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.0k3.8¢4.6¢$726+$115$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes1,11135¢33¢$367−$22$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes1,97416.7¢15.5¢$306−$24$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No1,10918.9¢15.5¢$172−$38$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,0841.5¢1.4¢$82−$9.10$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes45511¢0.3¢$1.14−$49$0
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5559¢0.2¢$0.83−$49$0
Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?Yes40.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes25.2k9.9¢0¢$0−$2,480+$313
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes16.0k25.1¢0¢$0−$4,020$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes15.2k24¢0¢$0−$3,662$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes15.0k2.5¢0¢$0−$379+$369
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes14.8k0.5¢0¢$0−$75$0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No13.9k25.7¢0¢$0−$3,578$0
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes12.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$24$0
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes11.9k3.6¢0¢$0−$432$0
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes11.3k2¢0¢$0−$226$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes11.0k11¢0¢$0−$1,200−$33
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.30
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$30−$0.90
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes9,86814.3¢0¢$0−$1,411$0
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes9,7480.6¢0¢$0−$58$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,3175.9¢0¢$0−$550−$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes9,21228.2¢0¢$0−$2,600$0
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?Yes8,4760.3¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes7,77715¢0¢$0−$1,167$0
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?Yes7,7530.5¢0¢$0−$35$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes7,66422.2¢0¢$0−$1,700$0
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes7,6636.7¢0¢$0−$510$0
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes7,1430.7¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,8182.2¢0¢$0−$150−$4.40
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No6,70460.8¢0¢$0−$4,077−$34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes6,69132.4¢0¢$0−$2,166$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes6,65520.5¢0¢$0−$1,367$0
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Yes5,82410.1¢0¢$0−$588−$167
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes5,6380.5¢0¢$0−$31−$1.14
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes5,29321.8¢0¢$0−$1,155$0
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes5,18223.3¢0¢$0−$1,210$0
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,1693.3¢0¢$0−$169+$100
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes5,0000.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.15
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes4,6252¢0¢$0−$93−$17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes4,61323.8¢0¢$0−$1,099$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes4,4854.6¢0¢$0−$207$0
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes4,4442.2¢0¢$0−$98$0
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes4,3482.3¢0¢$0−$100−$185
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?No4,23213.6¢0¢$0−$575$0
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes4,11944.6¢0¢$0−$1,838$0
Jets vs. PatriotsJets4,00015¢0¢$0−$600$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes3,94621¢0¢$0−$831$0
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes3,9438.2¢0¢$0−$325−$221
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?Yes3,76337.1¢0¢$0−$1,395−$515
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?Yes3,5064.5¢0¢$0−$159$0
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes3,46517.3¢0¢$0−$600$0
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes3,45417.5¢0¢$0−$604$0
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Yes3,4254.4¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes3,35026¢0¢$0−$871$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes3,3331.8¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No3,33387¢0¢$0−$2,900$0
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No3,33316.7¢0¢$0−$558$0
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes3,00264¢0¢$0−$1,921+$1,020
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?Yes3,0000.1¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.09
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes2,95414.4¢0¢$0−$426$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes2,94818.7¢0¢$0−$551$0
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes2,9311¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?Yes2,8966.9¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will the government shutdown end November 14?Yes2,8932.1¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes2,7445.4¢0¢$0−$149$0
Buccaneers vs. RamsBuccaneers2,67924.9¢0¢$0−$667$0
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid2,64421¢0¢$0−$555−$22
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes2,63710.3¢0¢$0−$272$0
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?No2,63422.8¢0¢$0−$600−$19
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Yes2,57913.7¢0¢$0−$353$0
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes2,52232.5¢0¢$0−$820$0
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes2,50033.8¢0¢$0−$845$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No2,49619.1¢0¢$0−$477$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No2,46460.9¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes2,42143.1¢0¢$0−$1,043$0
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?Yes2,3600.4¢0¢$0−$9.44$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes2,25517.5¢0¢$0−$394−$6,745
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No2,25547.6¢0¢$0−$1,074$0
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No2,2264¢0¢$0−$90−$94
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?No2,16830.4¢0¢$0−$659$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes2,1253.1¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes2,0955.9¢0¢$0−$123$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Yes2,0035¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes2,00020¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?No2,00010¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes1,94623¢0¢$0−$448$0
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?Yes1,89432.1¢0¢$0−$608$0
Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-09?Yes1,86540.2¢0¢$0−$750−$22
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No1,85470.3¢0¢$0−$1,302$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY FalconsSpread: Falcons (-3.5)38¢158$6072%78Sharp
BUY FalconsSpread: Falcons (-3.5)43¢465$20072%78Sharp
BUY OverRavens vs. Falcons: O/U 44.551¢400$20472%78Sharp
BUY Seahawks49ers vs. Seahawks30¢1,333$40072%78Sharp
BUY CommandersGiants vs. Commanders36.2¢276$10072%78Sharp
BUY ChargersBroncos vs. Chargers36¢111$4072%78Sharp
BUY ChargersBroncos vs. Chargers37¢946$35072%78Sharp
SELL SaintsVikings vs. Saints2¢39$0.7872%78Sharp
BUY SaintsVikings vs. Saints5¢800$4072%78Sharp
BUY JetsBrowns vs. Jets57¢18$1072%78Sharp
BUY JetsBrowns vs. Jets57¢351$20072%78Sharp
BUY JetsBrowns vs. Jets63¢397$25072%78Sharp
BUY BearsBears vs. Packers20¢500$10072%78Sharp
BUY DolphinsBengals vs. Dolphins24¢1,667$40072%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?10.7¢250$2772%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?47.2¢227$10772%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?33.9¢88$3072%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?36.3¢83$3072%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?37.9¢528$20072%78Sharp
BUY BuccaneersBuccaneers vs. Cowboys20¢1,750$35072%78Sharp