| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 7,826 | 95.4¢ | 95.9¢ | $7,501 | +$33 | −$192 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6,000 | 91.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $5,430 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | No | 5,141 | 64.6¢ | 88.5¢ | $4,549 | +$1,231 | +$492 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 5,250 | 84.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $4,174 | −$274 | −$187 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 4,968 | 56.3¢ | 78¢ | $3,875 | +$1,078 | +$488 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,454 | 78.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $3,808 | +$314 | −$106 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 4,000 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,620 | −$20 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 4,809 | 67.8¢ | 73.5¢ | $3,535 | +$276 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | No | 3,750 | 21¢ | 89¢ | $3,338 | +$2,549 | +$271 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3,634 | 56.5¢ | 85.7¢ | $3,112 | +$1,060 | +$883 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 3,800 | 82.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $3,097 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,836 | 87.3¢ | 97.5¢ | $2,765 | +$289 | $0 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,458 | 69.9¢ | 75.5¢ | $2,611 | +$195 | +$32 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,523 | 71.4¢ | 70.5¢ | $2,484 | −$33 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 2,325 | 80.4¢ | 93.9¢ | $2,182 | +$313 | +$1,236 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 2,000 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,890 | +$30 | +$338 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 72.5¢ | 92¢ | $1,840 | +$390 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2,919 | 57.4¢ | 57.9¢ | $1,688 | +$12 | +$222 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 2,264 | 75.9¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,664 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,834 | 83¢ | 90¢ | $1,650 | +$129 | $0 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1,918 | 81.4¢ | 82¢ | $1,573 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 1,600 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,512 | +$24 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | No | 1,691 | 61.6¢ | 89¢ | $1,505 | +$463 | +$8.00 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,741 | 55.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,471 | +$500 | +$277 | |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,500 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,433 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1,500 | 92¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,418 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 1,418 | 92¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,312 | +$7.28 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 1,300 | 98.4¢ | 98.6¢ | $1,282 | +$2.90 | +$20 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 1,389 | 78.2¢ | 89¢ | $1,237 | +$149 | +$957 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1,270 | 95.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,212 | +$1.91 | +$698 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: October | Nothing | 1,285 | 92.3¢ | 94¢ | $1,208 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 1,186 | 85.4¢ | 94.2¢ | $1,117 | +$105 | +$751 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1,462 | 81.4¢ | 74¢ | $1,082 | −$108 | +$26 | |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 88.4¢ | 96.6¢ | $966 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 5,066 | 21.6¢ | 18.5¢ | $937 | −$159 | −$992 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: September | Nothing | 941 | 99.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $934 | −$4.24 | $0 | |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 90.1¢ | 93¢ | $930 | +$29 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? | No | 1,025 | 74.2¢ | 88¢ | $902 | +$141 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,179 | 74.7¢ | 73.5¢ | $867 | −$14 | −$202 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | No | 874 | 94.4¢ | 95.2¢ | $832 | +$6.63 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 800 | 94.1¢ | 95.3¢ | $762 | +$9.60 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 71¢ | 70.5¢ | $705 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026? | No | 701 | 96.6¢ | 98¢ | $687 | +$9.93 | $0 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 875 | 79.4¢ | 78.4¢ | $686 | −$8.43 | −$12 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 724 | 92¢ | 94.5¢ | $684 | +$18 | +$60 | |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Yes | 3,317 | 19¢ | 19.5¢ | $647 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 54¢ | 62.5¢ | $625 | +$85 | +$60 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 58¢ | 61.5¢ | $615 | +$35 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | No | 600 | 81.8¢ | 91.5¢ | $549 | +$58 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? | Yes | 677 | 87.3¢ | 79¢ | $535 | −$56 | −$44 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | Yes | 522 | 99.2¢ | 99.2¢ | $517 | −$0.24 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 490 | 96.3¢ | 97.9¢ | $480 | +$7.60 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 46¢ | 47.5¢ | $475 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 93.6¢ | 94.8¢ | $474 | +$5.75 | $0 | |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? | No | 469 | 93¢ | 97.6¢ | $458 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | No | 515 | 81.3¢ | 83¢ | $427 | +$8.75 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by October 31? | No | 332 | 89¢ | 97¢ | $322 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 583 | 51.8¢ | 52¢ | $303 | +$0.93 | −$226 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 242 | 92¢ | 94.5¢ | $228 | +$6.04 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,319 | 3.3¢ | 2.7¢ | $225 | −$53 | +$0.97 | |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 228 | 94.1¢ | 98.6¢ | $225 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 183 | 96.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $183 | +$6.18 | $0 | |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 181 | 96¢ | 98.4¢ | $178 | +$4.35 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026? | No | 176 | 96.8¢ | 98.2¢ | $173 | +$2.33 | $0 | |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | No | 286 | 84¢ | 51.5¢ | $147 | −$93 | −$0.19 | |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 145 | 94.2¢ | 98.7¢ | $143 | +$6.46 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? | No | 132 | 97¢ | 99.3¢ | $131 | +$3.04 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 267 | 44¢ | 44.5¢ | $119 | +$1.33 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? | No | 127 | 85.6¢ | 88.5¢ | $113 | +$3.75 | +$3.32 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 694 | 11.3¢ | 16.1¢ | $112 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 5,242 | 3.7¢ | 2¢ | $105 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | No | 92 | 91¢ | 95.5¢ | $88 | +$4.16 | $0 | |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? | No | 95 | 90.2¢ | 91¢ | $87 | +$0.76 | $0 | |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31? | No | 83 | 91.5¢ | 95¢ | $79 | +$2.86 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 83 | 89¢ | 94.5¢ | $78 | +$4.54 | +$241 | |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 76 | 92.2¢ | 99.5¢ | $76 | +$5.60 | $0 | |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? | No | 49 | 69.3¢ | 86.1¢ | $42 | +$8.15 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? | No | 40 | 92.2¢ | 93.7¢ | $37 | +$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31, 2026? | No | 30 | 90¢ | 95.1¢ | $29 | +$1.53 | $0 | |
| Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026? | No | 26 | 81¢ | 91.5¢ | $24 | +$2.76 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31? | No | 23 | 94.3¢ | 98.9¢ | $23 | +$1.07 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by October 31? | No | 21 | 90¢ | 96.5¢ | $20 | +$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 20 | 36¢ | 36.5¢ | $7.30 | +$0.10 | +$233 | |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 2 | 15¢ | 16.5¢ | $0.35 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
