sharpside
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Traders/Rank #601

poptree

0x57c…07aa
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$334kvol $18.3M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate72.3%adj 71.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$510kcash n/a
Positions29 / 618open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.4%of equity peak
Account age2.7ylast trade 44d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$333kbelow peak −$243Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 72.3% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? · Yesclosed+$15.6kWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Noclosed+$14.9kWill Kanye launch a coin in February? · Noclosed+$14.1kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$13.7kWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Noclosed+$10.4k

Worst markets

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$39.8kWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · Noclosed−$21.2kWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$16.7kWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$15.6kWill Kanye launch a coin in February? · Yesclosed−$9,744

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No510k50¢51.5¢$262k+$7,395$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes510k50¢48.6¢$248k−$7,395$0
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes13.4k9.5¢0¢$0−$1,282−$629
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No12.1k0.9¢0¢$0−$109$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes10.0k9.7¢0¢$0−$967+$17
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?No5,00074¢0¢$0−$3,700$0
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No4,02916.2¢0¢$0−$654$0
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes3,00026.3¢0¢$0−$790−$0.05
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes2,9299.9¢0¢$0−$289−$112
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?Yes1,33516.9¢0¢$0−$225$0
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No1,0004¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes1,00096.6¢0¢$0−$966+$4.76
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes1,00053¢0¢$0−$530$0
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes84645.7¢0¢$0−$387+$928
Will Behn win TN-07?Yes53118.2¢0¢$0−$97+$22
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No34370.8¢0¢$0−$243−$2.84
Senate vote on Epstein bill by December 31?No33820¢0¢$0−$68$0
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes25921¢0¢$0−$54−$62
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Yes18633.3¢0¢$0−$62−$44
Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?No16654.4¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes12054¢0¢$0−$65$0
Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes1033¢0¢$0−$3.08$0
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes3715¢0¢$0−$5.56−$2,542
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?No1935.9¢0¢$0−$6.80+$293
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?No1646.7¢0¢$0−$7.68+$3,027
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?Yes1522¢0¢$0−$3.40$0
Jalen Hurts: 2+ TouchdownsYes519¢0¢$0−$0.95$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?Yes242¢0¢$0−$0.80+$154

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?70.8¢343$24372%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?49¢112$5572%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?51¢181$9272%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?4.1¢2,203$9072%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?6¢9,351$56172%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?6¢9,000$54072%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?6¢20.0k$1,20072%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?95¢3,000$2,85072%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?92.9¢7,545$7,01372%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?91¢2,413$2,19672%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?97¢186$18072%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?4¢409$1672%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in July?75¢3,238$2,43072%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?14¢4,423$61772%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?37.4¢1,893$70872%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?3.8¢741$2872%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?1.2¢736$8.8372%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?19.6¢1,893$37172%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?4¢18$0.7472%72Sharp
BUY YesWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?54¢120$6572%72Sharp