PnL all-time+$15.1kvol $3.97M
PnL 30d+$0.50gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$4.50win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.2%adj 56.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$388cash n/a
Positions4 / 255open / all-time
Max drawdown−64.7%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$15.2kbelow peak −$18.0kOct 11
SharpScore inputs
45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 57.2% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity35
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$220kPacers vs. Thunder · Pacersclosed+$14.2kWill Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season? · Yesclosed+$11.2kWill Trump be impeached in 2025? · Noclosed+$10.1kWill the Seattle Seahawks be the Top Defense/Special Teams of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season? · Yesclosed+$8,941
Worst markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$117kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$72.5kFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$25.0kPacers vs. Thunder · Thunderclosed−$18.4kSpread: Thunder (-7.5) · Pacersclosed−$13.0k
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? | No | 200 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | No | 110 | 47.9¢ | 100¢ | $110 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 100 | 20¢ | 78¢ | $78 | +$58 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by May 31? | Yes | 160 | 41.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66 | +$1.69 |
Recent trades
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