PnL all-time−$135vol $5,647
PnL 30d−$94gains $0 · losses $126
PnL 7d−$94win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 40.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$18cash n/a
Positions11 / 16open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1dlast trade 5h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$23below peak $0Oct 15
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable40
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? · Yesopen+$2.83Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Noopen+$0.75Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · Noopen+$0.57Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · Noopen+$0.33Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yesopen+$0.13
Worst markets
Will Unai Simón (Athletic Club) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yesclosed−$53Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 15? · Yesclosed−$34Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be 720,000 or more? · Yesclosed−$31Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 15? · Yesopen−$11Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 15? · Noclosed−$5.41
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | No | 5 | 66¢ | 81¢ | $4.05 | +$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 5 | 70¢ | 70¢ | $3.50 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5 | 51.4¢ | 53.2¢ | $2.66 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 13 | 19.6¢ | 16.5¢ | $2.13 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 6 | 18¢ | 27¢ | $1.71 | +$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 5 | 25¢ | 27.5¢ | $1.38 | +$0.13 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s