sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Krass

0x581…b2e3
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$14.3kvol $505k
PnL 30d+$19gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$42win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate76.1%adj 75.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$42.9kcash n/a
Positions84 / 930open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.8%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 21d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$19.7kbelow peak −$94Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 76.1% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d29
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 84

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No3,26694.3¢99¢$3,233+$154$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No2,76787.9¢96.7¢$2,674+$243$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No2,40086.9¢97.4¢$2,338+$253$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?No1,97092.1¢98.6¢$1,941+$126$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No1,68468.9¢90.5¢$1,524+$365$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No1,50087.3¢96.3¢$1,444+$135$0
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No1,39696.2¢98.2¢$1,371+$28$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?No1,42977.4¢90.1¢$1,287+$180$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,20084¢96.3¢$1,156+$148$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1,00082.2¢97¢$970+$148$0
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No99892¢93.6¢$934+$16$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No93886.9¢97.2¢$912+$96$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No90083.4¢97¢$873+$122$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No89569.4¢96.6¢$865+$243$0
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No86295.4¢99.2¢$854+$32$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?No95076¢87.5¢$831+$109$0
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No80086.6¢98¢$784+$91$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?No82576.7¢93.8¢$773+$141$0
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No75094.6¢96.7¢$725+$15$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?No75179.3¢90¢$676+$80−$9.90
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No70068.6¢96.5¢$675+$195$0
EU dissolves before 2027?No67996¢98.9¢$672+$19$0
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No66677.4¢96.9¢$645+$130$0
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?No65289.9¢98.8¢$644+$58$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?No65976.5¢93.4¢$616+$111$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?No69373.9¢87.5¢$607+$95$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?No65651.3¢92.5¢$607+$270$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?No59375.4¢89.5¢$531+$84$0
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?No54078.3¢90.5¢$489+$66$0
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No49176¢94.5¢$464+$91$0
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?No47090.9¢95¢$447+$19$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?No49681.6¢90¢$446+$42$0
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No50078.4¢89¢$445+$53$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No50056.6¢88.5¢$442+$159$0
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No50063.6¢85.5¢$427+$109$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No43762¢97.2¢$425+$154$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No42094¢99.5¢$418+$23$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?No44580.1¢91¢$405+$49$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No40090¢99¢$396+$36$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No40087.8¢97.4¢$390+$38$0
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No40090.7¢97.3¢$389+$26$0
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No38773.2¢93.5¢$362+$79$0
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No37883.8¢95¢$359+$42$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?No36072.2¢90.6¢$326+$66$0
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No32979.5¢96.8¢$319+$57$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?No31885.8¢96.2¢$305+$33$0
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No30095¢99.6¢$299+$14$0
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No30074¢97.4¢$292+$70$0
ECB rate cut in 2026?No30074.7¢96¢$288+$64$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No30076¢95.5¢$287+$59$0
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No30083.7¢94.9¢$285+$34$0
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?No28985.8¢95.9¢$277+$29$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No27783.3¢93.5¢$259+$28+$7.29
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?No25964.2¢88.1¢$228+$62$0
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?No22887¢95.6¢$218+$20$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No20093¢98.2¢$196+$10$0
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?No20095¢97.1¢$194+$4.10$0
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No20088¢96.7¢$193+$17$0
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No20090¢96.6¢$193+$13$0
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No20059¢96¢$192+$74$0
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No20081.5¢95.2¢$190+$27$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?No16480.1¢89.5¢$146+$15$0
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No11294.8¢98.5¢$110+$4.09$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No10074¢93.5¢$94+$20$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?No10079¢92¢$92+$13$0
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No10060¢84¢$84+$24$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No6772.5¢91¢$61+$12$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30027¢19.7¢$59−$22$0
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No6079.8¢96¢$58+$9.70$0
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?No5986.8¢92¢$55+$3.07$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?No3668¢86.5¢$31+$6.60$0
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes10020¢21.5¢$22+$1.50$0
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Yes2068¢68.5¢$14+$0.10$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No1041¢96¢$9.60+$5.50$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No60.4¢89¢$5.36+$5.34$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No591¢96.2¢$4.81+$0.26$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No20018.5¢0.8¢$1.50−$35$0
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Yes2534¢5.5¢$1.39−$7.20$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?No50075.2¢0¢$0−$376$0
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No40054¢0¢$0−$216$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No37060¢0¢$0−$222$0
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes30017.7¢0¢$0−$53$0
Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes10023¢0¢$0−$23$0
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?No10076¢0¢$0−$76$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?85¢100$8576%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?72¢48$3576%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?76.3¢45$3476%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?62.6¢90$5676%72Sharp
BUY NoJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?89¢200$17876%72Sharp
BUY NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?82¢200$16476%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?92¢70$6476%72Sharp
BUY NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?81¢200$16276%72Sharp
BUY NoWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?56¢42$2376%72Sharp
BUY NoJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?18¢57$1076%72Sharp
BUY NoJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?77.6¢86$6676%72Sharp
BUY NoJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?77.5¢60$4676%72Sharp
BUY NoJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?76.8¢86$6676%72Sharp
BUY NoJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?76.1¢26$2076%72Sharp
BUY NoJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?76¢60$4676%72Sharp
BUY NoWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?78¢20$1676%72Sharp
BUY NoU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?82¢20$1676%72Sharp
BUY NoU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?82¢25$2176%72Sharp
BUY NoWill US annex any territory in 2026?87¢100$8776%72Sharp
BUY NoEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?95.5¢524$50076%72Sharp