PnL all-time−$1,565vol $54.9k
PnL 30d+$473gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$78win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate62.5%adj 53.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$20.0kcash n/a
Positions2 / 10open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$329below peak −$351Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
10/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 62.5% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable33
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$1,300Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Noopen+$1,176MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$1,032Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$61Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$30
Worst markets
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 19.9k | 91¢ | 97¢ | $19.3k | +$1,176 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,100 | 59¢ | 64.5¢ | $710 | +$61 | $0 |
Recent trades
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