PnL all-time+$460vol $142k
PnL 30d+$726gains $1,497 · losses $1,004
PnL 7d−$16win rate 7d 50.9%
Win rate55.4%adj 55.2% · 30d 55.4%
Open value$11cash n/a
Positions1 / 2,559open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.1%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$804below peak −$35Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 55.4% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on September 21? · Yesclosed+$158Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? · Yesclosed+$96Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21? · Noclosed+$66Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14? · Yesclosed+$64Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? · Yesclosed+$58
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21? · Yesclosed−$78Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? · Yesclosed−$58Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 9? · Noclosed−$54Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · Yesclosed−$42Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30? · Yesclosed−$27
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 200 | 5¢ | 5.3¢ | $11 | +$0.50 | $0 |
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