sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,620

MatrixBreaker-HR48

0x593…a941
WeatherCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,821vol $198k
PnL 30d−$1,367gains $4,317 · losses $4,923
PnL 7d−$426win rate 7d 45.3%
Win rate45.3%adj 45.5% · 30d 45.3%
Open value$62cash n/a
Positions184 / 5,164open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.3% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yesclosed+$174US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? · Noclosed+$138Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$113US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · Yesclosed+$109Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? · Noclosed+$109

Worst markets

Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Noclosed−$176US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? · Yesclosed−$140Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$116US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · Noclosed−$114Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? · Yesclosed−$111

Open positions · 2

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?No20038¢28.5¢$57−$19$0
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Yes4024¢11.5¢$4.55−$4.94+$42

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?31.6¢200$6345%45
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?23¢200$4645%45
BUY NoWill there be no Hormuz agreement?6.6¢200$1345%45
BUY YesWill there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?32.5¢200$6545%45
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?93¢200$18645%45
BUY NoWill oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?95.3¢200$19145%45
BUY NoWill there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?47.8¢200$9645%45
SELL YesWill "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?81¢2$1.6245%45
BUY YesWill Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?53.8¢200$10845%45
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?2.8¢200$5.6045%45
SELL YesWill Pep Guardiola be the next head coach of the England national team?0.1¢50$0.0545%45
BUY NoWill Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?91.7¢200$18345%45
BUY NoWill "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?81.3¢200$16345%45
BUY NoWill the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?24.5¢20$4.8845%45
SELL NoUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?94¢75$7145%45
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?5.7¢100$5.7045%45
BUY YesWill Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?15.4¢200$3145%45
BUY YesWill there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?59.4¢200$11945%45
BUY NoWill oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?94.4¢200$18945%45
BUY NoWill Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?88¢200$17645%45