sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,064

rip

0x595…8c48
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$22.3kvol $6.24M
PnL 30d−$450gains $1,458 · losses $81
PnL 7d−$827win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.9%adj 51.8% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$14.2kcash n/a
Positions122 / 622open / all-time
Max drawdown−41.6%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$19.0kbelow peak −$5,080Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 51.9% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$4,161Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed+$2,845S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11? · Downclosed+$2,818Will None in 2025 occur? · Yesclosed+$2,701Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yesclosed+$2,678

Worst markets

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2? · Downclosed−$5,652US military action against Iran by Saturday? · Noclosed−$3,361Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yesclosed−$2,530Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? · Yesclosed−$2,336US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Cori Gauff · Gauffclosed−$1,731

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No5,67495.6¢97.3¢$5,518+$94−$324
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?No3,00931.2¢39.5¢$1,189+$249+$171
Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?No1,00079.2¢86.5¢$865+$73+$31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,00036¢63.5¢$635+$275$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,00034¢61.5¢$615+$275$0
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No1,90639¢27.2¢$519−$225−$176
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?No56369.4¢85.3¢$480+$89+$17
Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No39082.9¢99.7¢$389+$65$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes2,00028.3¢15.5¢$310−$257$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No1,91450.6¢14.5¢$277−$692+$99
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes78753.9¢33.2¢$261−$163+$742
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Yes3,7637.6¢6.8¢$254−$31+$2.24
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes50086¢46¢$230−$200$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No40067.5¢56.3¢$225−$45$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,40011.4¢14.8¢$207+$47+$1.80
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes4,00013.4¢4.5¢$180−$356$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?No17595.9¢98.7¢$172+$4.85$0
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes5,60018.6¢2.9¢$165−$877+$191
Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?No50045¢32¢$160−$65$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1,89723.4¢8.2¢$155−$288+$1,342
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,60018¢9.2¢$146−$142$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No21649.9¢66.8¢$144+$36−$0.77
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes4,00010¢3.1¢$124−$276+$102
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes1,00016¢10¢$100−$60$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,00029.7¢9.5¢$95−$202−$1.38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Yes1,00010¢8.5¢$85−$15$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,0008¢2.8¢$83−$158$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Yes1,00031¢8¢$80−$230$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00023¢7.5¢$75−$155$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No1,90016¢3.5¢$67−$237+$3.34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Yes10069.2¢60.5¢$61−$8.71+$140
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes2,0009¢2.4¢$47−$133$0
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No3102.6¢14.4¢$45+$36+$61
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes50052¢8.6¢$43−$217$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes2,20011.1¢1.8¢$39−$205$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes1,00025.2¢3.9¢$39−$214+$29
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes2,0153.5¢1.9¢$38−$32+$455
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes11188¢26¢$29−$69$0
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1,5064¢1.4¢$20−$41+$9.03
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes3,9823.5¢0.4¢$16−$122$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes40538.4¢2.4¢$9.53−$146+$68
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes2413¢21.8¢$5.15+$2.07$0
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes2,5194.6¢0.2¢$3.78−$111$0
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes5007.7¢0.4¢$2.00−$36$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?14¢140$2052%60
BUY NoWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?11.3¢863$9852%60
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?19.9¢364$7352%60
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?28¢80$2252%60
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?30¢400$12052%60
BUY NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?23.3¢260$6152%60
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?38.3¢400$15352%60
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?41.3¢1,000$41352%60
BUY NoWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?31¢902$28052%60
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?42.4¢192$8152%60
SELL NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?48.3¢778$37652%60
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?37.7¢450$17052%60
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?38.8¢457$17752%60
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?43.3¢293$12752%60
BUY NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?34.5¢30$1052%60
BUY NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?34.6¢30$1052%60
BUY NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?34.6¢100$3552%60
BUY NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?35¢60$2152%60
BUY NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?34.9¢30$1052%60
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?17¢297$5052%60