PnL all-time−$1,283vol $185k
PnL 30d+$298gains $100 · losses $121
PnL 7d+$168win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate41.1%adj 43.4% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$2,616cash n/a
Positions10 / 67open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$836below peak −$877Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 41.1% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$151Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$110Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$104Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$100Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesclosed+$99
Worst markets
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$694Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? · Yesclosed−$224Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Noopen−$150Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yesopen−$133Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$81
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 672 | 99.2¢ | 99.2¢ | $666 | −$0.34 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 600 | 91¢ | 97.3¢ | $584 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 570 | 77¢ | 94.5¢ | $539 | +$100 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | 67¢ | 89¢ | $445 | +$110 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 432 | 63¢ | 87¢ | $376 | +$104 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 325 | 2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | $6.66 | −$0.16 | −$3.48 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 21.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$106 | −$27 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | No | 300 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$1.00 | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 300 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Lakers vs. Suns | Lakers | 50 | 69¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 |
Recent trades
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