sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

revol

0x5a0…c6be
WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,613vol $756k
PnL 30d+$13gains $1,216 · losses $95
PnL 7d+$570win rate 7d 69.2%
Win rate63.4%adj 62.3% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$4,738cash n/a
Positions53 / 277open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.3%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,289below peak −$660Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 63.4% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Noclosed+$744Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? · Yesclosed+$713Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen+$437Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? · Yesclosed+$408Will there be no new Prime Minister of France? · Yesclosed+$247

Worst markets

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen−$532French election called by November 30? · Yesclosed−$208Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? · Noclosed−$179US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · Noopen−$177Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? · Yesclosed−$157

Open positions · 53

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes374k0.5¢0.3¢$935−$927+$395
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,55225.8¢32¢$817+$159+$14
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,05019.2¢22.5¢$461+$68$0
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No70659.1¢56¢$395−$22+$31
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No32591.5¢86¢$279−$18+$1.18
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes26163.2¢78.5¢$205+$40+$203
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No22281.1¢92¢$204+$24+$20
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No17471.8¢88.5¢$154+$29+$2.35
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,7581.2¢2.7¢$153+$84+$353
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20753.8¢60.5¢$125+$14+$40
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?No19367.1¢64.6¢$124−$4.72$0
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No12187.5¢85.2¢$103−$2.75+$2.75
French election called by December 31, 2026?Yes1,8228.4¢5.1¢$93−$61+$0.04
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8007.1¢10.5¢$84+$27+$51
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes37724.1¢19¢$72−$19+$63
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,1471¢6.2¢$71+$59+$22
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No5571¢76¢$42+$2.76−$14
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes10031¢40¢$40+$9.00+$30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10030.9¢40¢$40+$9.05+$207
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes12526¢30.5¢$38+$5.65$0
Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No4087¢87.6¢$35+$0.24$0
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4951¢67.5¢$33+$8.11$0
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No5050¢50.5¢$25+$0.25$0
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes5040¢46.5¢$23+$3.25$0
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No2576¢75¢$19−$0.25+$3.71
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No2088.9¢91.7¢$18+$0.56+$0.23
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2083¢89¢$18+$1.20$0
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?No1882.9¢91.5¢$16+$1.53+$4.35
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3176.9¢5.1¢$16−$5.66−$3.66
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,3130.5¢0.7¢$15+$4.28+$3.75
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No2066.6¢64¢$13−$0.54−$2.77
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2365.8¢5.3¢$13−$1.19−$3.53
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5631.2¢2.1¢$12+$4.78+$45
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5025¢21.5¢$11−$1.75$0
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes978.7¢80¢$7.19+$0.12+$18
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8510.5¢0.5¢$4.26−$0.39+$205
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4,0000.6¢0.1¢$4.00−$21$0
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1420¢26.5¢$3.71+$0.91+$8.27
Will neither Gabriel Attal nor Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2320.4¢1.4¢$3.13+$2.24$0
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No392.4¢98.2¢$2.46+$0.14+$5.09
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes1005¢2.3¢$2.30−$2.70$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes503.8¢4.3¢$2.13+$0.23$0
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3,9350.5¢0.1¢$1.97−$17−$10
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes381¢4.8¢$1.82+$1.44$0
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes705.3¢2.5¢$1.72−$1.98+$1.07
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes528¢30¢$1.41+$0.09+$9.97
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes19¢5.5¢$0.07−$0.04$0
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes14.9¢3.5¢$0.04−$0.02+$8.90
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No85021.3¢0¢$0−$181+$3.87
Will Gabriel Attal announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No1266.3¢0¢$0−$7.95−$0.24
Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Yes11225.6¢0¢$0−$29−$31
Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes5017¢0¢$0−$8.50$0
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsYes516¢0¢$0−$0.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoLe Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?64.4¢33$2163%67
SELL YesWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?0.1¢118$0.1263%67
BUY YesWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?27.6¢86$2463%67
BUY YesWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?24.9¢95$2463%67
SELL YesWill Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?66¢10$6.6063%67
SELL NoWill François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?93.6¢50$4763%67
BUY NoLe Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?65.1¢50$3363%67
BUY NoLe Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?67.4¢50$3463%67
SELL YesWill Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?85¢17$1563%67
SELL YesWill Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?85¢26$2263%67
BUY NoLe Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?68¢10$6.8063%67
BUY NoWill François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?86.5¢50$4363%67
BUY YesWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢282$0.2863%67
SELL NoWill Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?94.2¢20$1963%67
BUY YesWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?0.3¢1,000$3.0063%67
SELL NoWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?6.1¢300$1863%67
BUY YesWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?0.3¢5,000$1563%67
SELL NoWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?91¢100$9163%67
SELL NoWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?5.7¢21$1.1963%67
BUY YesWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?0.3¢10.0k$3063%67