PnL all-time+$855vol $16.8k
PnL 30d+$845gains $855 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$229win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 60.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$3,817cash n/a
Positions9 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.8%of equity peak
Account age16dlast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$826below peak −$26Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed+$443Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$278Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yesclosed+$118Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesopen+$49Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yesclosed+$11
Worst markets
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yesopen−$78Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$5.00Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? · Yesopen−$5.00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Noopen−$4.40Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yesopen−$4.32
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 72¢ | 72.5¢ | $725 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1,014 | 69¢ | 69.5¢ | $705 | +$5.07 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,100 | 27.8¢ | 30.2¢ | $633 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 63¢ | 62.5¢ | $625 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 1,015 | 61.8¢ | 54.1¢ | $549 | −$78 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | No | 440 | 59¢ | 58¢ | $255 | −$4.40 | $0 | |
| Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | Yes | 650 | 26.8¢ | 26¢ | $169 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Alexa Loo win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | Yes | 650 | 23.5¢ | 23¢ | $149 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | Yes | 589 | 1.8¢ | 1.1¢ | $6.18 | −$4.32 | $0 |
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