PnL all-time+$1,264vol $111k
PnL 30d+$0.04gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.09win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate48.2%adj 48.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$319cash n/a
Positions7 / 127open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,248below peak −$1,061Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 48.2% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo? · Yesclosed+$800Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$581Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25? · Yesclosed+$557Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels · Alabama Crimson Tideclosed+$286Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 · Overclosed+$255
Worst markets
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 5AM ET · Upclosed−$309Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu? · Yesclosed−$223Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw? · Yesclosed−$206Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · Yesopen−$200Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January? · Yesclosed−$197
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? | No | 221 | 56¢ | 100¢ | $221 | +$97 | $0 | |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? | No | 94 | 82¢ | 100¢ | $94 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 3 | 88¢ | 95.2¢ | $2.85 | +$0.21 | −$17 | |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 1 | 23¢ | 56.5¢ | $0.56 | +$0.34 | +$8.93 | |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 50 | 33¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.10 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 1,000 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 441 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$137 | $0 |
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