PnL all-time+$1,008vol $92.5k
PnL 30d−$415gains $327 · losses $335
PnL 7d−$207win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.6%adj 70.4% · 30d 58.8%
Open value$2,264cash n/a
Positions7 / 88open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.5%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 11d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$915below peak −$427Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 75.6% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d61
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$447Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Noclosed+$201Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? · Noclosed+$137Will Solana dip to $60 in August? · Noclosed+$116GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? · Noclosed+$108
Worst markets
Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noclosed−$174US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · Yesopen−$165Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegalclosed−$160Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Noclosed−$137US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$129
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,295 | 77.2¢ | 64.5¢ | $835 | −$165 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 518 | 88.8¢ | 93¢ | $482 | +$22 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 323 | 93¢ | 91.5¢ | $295 | −$4.84 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 668 | 59.9¢ | 40.6¢ | $271 | −$129 | $0 | |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Yes | 424 | 41.8¢ | 49.5¢ | $210 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 246 | 54¢ | 69.5¢ | $171 | +$38 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s