PnL all-time−$38vol $51.0k
PnL 30d−$3,049gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$247win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$16.5kcash n/a
Positions3 / 3open / all-time
Max drawdown−70.2%of equity peak
Account age15dlast trade 15d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$3,048below peak −$2,029Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable16
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d50
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity30
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 26.6k | 71.8¢ | 60.5¢ | $16.1k | −$3,015 | −$38 | |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 13.8k | 1.9¢ | 1.6¢ | $221 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 9,560 | 1.9¢ | 2.3¢ | $215 | +$35 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL Yes | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 65¢ | 300 | $195 | 0% | 14 | |||
| BUY Yes | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 68¢ | 14.3k | $9,700 | 0% | 14 | |||
| BUY No | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 2.4¢ | 664 | $16 | 0% | 14 | |||
| BUY No | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 2.1¢ | 1,980 | $42 | 0% | 14 | |||
| BUY No | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 1.8¢ | 6,915 | $122 | 0% | 14 | |||
| SELL Yes | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 75¢ | 30 | $23 | 0% | 14 | |||
| SELL Yes | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 75¢ | 60 | $45 | 0% | 14 | |||
| SELL Yes | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 75¢ | 150 | $113 | 0% | 14 | |||
| BUY Yes | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 77¢ | 5,785 | $4,453 | 0% | 14 | |||
| BUY Yes | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 75.5¢ | 7,078 | $5,344 | 0% | 14 | |||
| BUY No | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 1.3¢ | 1,233 | $16 | 0% | 14 |