PnL all-time+$97vol $16.6k
PnL 30d−$0.04gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.04win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.4%adj 65.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$110cash n/a
Positions7 / 56open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.4%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 5d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$100below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 71.4% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d81
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yesclosed+$366Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Noclosed+$9.43Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? · Noclosed+$8.36Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? · Noclosed+$8.08Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? · Noclosed+$5.18
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Noclosed−$297Los Angeles FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5 · Overopen−$17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23? · Noopen−$9.40Counter-Strike: OG vs GRINGOS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D · OGclosed−$6.67Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2.32
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 111 | 99.3¢ | 99.5¢ | $110 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.80 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 30 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Los Angeles FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5 | Over | 20 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23? | No | 10 | 94¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.40 | $0 |
Recent trades
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