PnL all-time+$16.8kvol $267k
PnL 30d+$16.3kgains $16.3k · losses $50
PnL 7d−$0.73win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.3%adj 51.4% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$46cash n/a
Positions1 / 16open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.3%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 16d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$16.8kbelow peak −$1.63Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 53.3% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable40
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d44
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$14.9kWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Noclosed+$1,230Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? · Yesclosed+$530Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yesclosed+$168US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$33
Worst markets
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Noclosed−$50Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66? · Noclosed−$50Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · Noclosed−$11Will Donald Trump sign 10-14 executive orders in March? · Noclosed−$0.16Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series? · Noclosed−$0.07
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 50 | 81.1¢ | 91.1¢ | $46 | +$4.97 | $0 |
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