sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Calimer0

0x5b7…bedd
WR 60+WeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$6,188vol $1.23M
PnL 30d−$5,494gains $20.1k · losses $2,321
PnL 7d+$654win rate 7d 71.7%
Win rate66.4%adj 65.3% · 30d 68.7%
Open value$4,069cash n/a
Positions664 / 951open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,424below peak −$9,444Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 66.4% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes121k2.2¢2.5¢$2,955+$342+$890
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes1,6689.6¢15.4¢$256+$96$0
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes23069.9¢74.5¢$171+$11$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,5836.3¢6.5¢$168+$5.17$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Yes29338.6¢38¢$111−$1.68$0
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes14166.6¢68¢$96+$1.92$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 11?Yes9830¢75¢$73+$44$0
Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No4005¢18¢$72+$52$0
Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes3279¢14.5¢$47+$18−$16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 12?Yes10344¢43¢$44−$1.03$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 12?Yes31313.5¢11.5¢$36−$6.17$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?Yes9942.4¢23.2¢$23−$19$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 11?Yes754.9¢6.1¢$4.56+$0.87$0
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes2,2713¢0.2¢$3.41−$65$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 12?Yes1002.8¢1.4¢$1.40−$1.43$0
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes89613.9¢0.2¢$1.34−$123−$64
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?Yes1,8800.5¢0.1¢$0.94−$9.25$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 10?Yes1,2400.5¢0.1¢$0.62−$5.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on October 11?Yes1,1551.7¢0.1¢$0.58−$19$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 11?Yes1,0130.7¢0.1¢$0.51−$6.23−$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 10?Yes6063.1¢0.1¢$0.30−$18$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 12?Yes910.2¢0.3¢$0.27+$0.09$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 11?Yes5077.5¢0.1¢$0.25−$38−$43
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 11?Yes4141.1¢0.1¢$0.21−$4.55−$5.98
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 11?Yes4081.4¢0.1¢$0.20−$5.70$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 11?Yes1352.9¢0.2¢$0.20−$3.74$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 11?Yes3134¢0.1¢$0.16−$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 11?Yes3009.1¢0.1¢$0.15−$27−$28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10?No3002¢0.1¢$0.15−$5.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 11?Yes2014.9¢0.1¢$0.10−$9.82$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11?Yes6216¢0.2¢$0.09−$9.86$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11?Yes18012¢0.1¢$0.09−$21$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 11?Yes1517.9¢0.1¢$0.08−$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 11?Yes11237.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$42$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 11?Yes10210.1¢0.1¢$0.05−$10−$2.22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 11?Yes2433¢0.2¢$0.05−$7.76−$23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?Yes8930.5¢0.1¢$0.04−$27$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 11?Yes403.8¢0.1¢$0.02−$1.49$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 11?Yes305¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 11?Yes305¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on October 11?Yes305¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on October 11?Yes305¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 11?Yes305¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on October 11?Yes305¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 11?Yes262.9¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.72−$9.60
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes32.0k12.3¢0¢$0−$3,935+$231
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes30.5k6.3¢0¢$0−$1,923+$188
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes15.8k0.9¢0¢$0−$147−$7.30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or below on September 20?Yes8,1490.2¢0¢$0−$19−$0.93
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C or below on September 20?Yes6,5000.1¢0¢$0−$6.48−$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on September 19?Yes6,3860.3¢0¢$0−$16−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or below on September 20?Yes6,2370.2¢0¢$0−$9.53−$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10?Yes6,0020.6¢0¢$0−$35−$8.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?Yes5,2390.3¢0¢$0−$17−$0.84
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or below on September 20?Yes4,9760.1¢0¢$0−$4.97−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20?Yes4,4310.1¢0¢$0−$4.42+$21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?Yes3,6981.1¢0¢$0−$39−$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 19?Yes3,6480.5¢0¢$0−$17−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on September 19?Yes3,3960.1¢0¢$0−$3.39−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10?Yes3,3361.7¢0¢$0−$58−$35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 19?Yes3,2060.1¢0¢$0−$3.20−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 10?Yes3,0000.5¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 10?Yes3,0000.5¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 15?Yes2,7681.1¢0¢$0−$30−$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 14?Yes2,7610.4¢0¢$0−$11−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on September 18?Yes2,6471.2¢0¢$0−$32−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 28?Yes2,5781.2¢0¢$0−$31−$1.46
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 2?Yes2,5200.1¢0¢$0−$2.52−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on September 20?Yes2,4440.2¢0¢$0−$5.43−$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 25?Yes2,3220.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28?Yes2,3195¢0¢$0−$117−$4.44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 20?Yes2,3001.3¢0¢$0−$30−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 26?Yes2,0870.2¢0¢$0−$4.28−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 20?Yes2,0250.1¢0¢$0−$2.01−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on September 20?Yes2,0240.1¢0¢$0−$2.01−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 6?Yes2,0030.2¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on September 22?Yes2,0001¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 30?Yes1,9971¢0¢$0−$21−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 28?Yes1,9462.7¢0¢$0−$52−$1.49
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 25?Yes1,9010.8¢0¢$0−$16−$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 20?Yes1,8761.4¢0¢$0−$27−$1.32
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on October 10?Yes1,8340.3¢0¢$0−$5.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 20?Yes1,8000.3¢0¢$0−$4.70−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on September 19?Yes1,7890.4¢0¢$0−$8.02−$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 22?Yes1,7652¢0¢$0−$35−$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 6?Yes1,6621.1¢0¢$0−$19−$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 4?Yes1,6120.6¢0¢$0−$9.53−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 14?Yes1,5172.4¢0¢$0−$36+$23
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on September 23?Yes1,5001.7¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28?Yes1,5003¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 21?Yes1,4552.6¢0¢$0−$37−$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?Yes1,4242.7¢0¢$0−$38−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 23?Yes1,4000.5¢0¢$0−$6.93−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 5?Yes1,3962.7¢0¢$0−$38−$1.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20?Yes1,3665.3¢0¢$0−$72−$1.82
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?Yes1,3456.9¢0¢$0−$93−$1.39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 19?Yes1,3081.8¢0¢$0−$23−$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 19?Yes1,2545.4¢0¢$0−$67−$2.89
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 15?Yes1,2510.5¢0¢$0−$6.23−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 25?Yes1,2460.3¢0¢$0−$3.78−$0.17

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 11?4.9¢75$3.6966%39
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 11?52¢20$1066%39
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11?16¢62$9.9566%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 11?5¢80$3.9966%39
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?30.5¢89$2766%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 11?1.1¢529$5.9266%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 11?2.3¢127$2.9266%39
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 11?24.3¢78$1966%39
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?62.6¢31$1966%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 11?90¢3$3.1066%39
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 11?57¢80$4566%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 11?3¢65$1.9466%39
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 11?11.3¢70$7.9166%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 11?1¢330$3.3166%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 11?0.2¢94$0.2366%39
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?29.1¢45$1366%39
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11?12¢172$2166%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 12?47.7¢103$4966%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 11?2.8¢59$1.6966%39
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 11?82.6¢123$10266%39