PnL all-time+$246vol $23.4k
PnL 30d+$12gains $3.24 · losses $28
PnL 7d+$9.40win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.7%adj 80.0% · 30d 77.8%
Open value$397cash n/a
Positions4 / 114open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 85.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 6? · Yesclosed+$172Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14? · Yesclosed+$103Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$21Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noclosed+$18Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31? · Noopen+$13
Worst markets
Megaquake before August? · Noclosed−$40Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July? · Noclosed−$30Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Noclosed−$27Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14? · Noclosed−$20Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? · Yesclosed−$15
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31? | No | 150 | 81¢ | 89.5¢ | $134 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 126 | 94.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $119 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 100 | 96.4¢ | 96.4¢ | $96 | $0 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 50 | 95.7¢ | 95.7¢ | $48 | $0 | $0 |
Recent trades
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