sharpside
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greden22

0x5be…54df
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$515vol $4,391
PnL 30d+$157gains $84 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$8.54win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate96.4%adj 84.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,259cash n/a
Positions22 / 78open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.2%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$669below peak −$8.20Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 96.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes19267.4¢96.8¢$186+$56$0
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes17576.8¢77¢$134+$0.32$0
Will Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?No9995.8¢100¢$99+$4.12$0
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes10072.1¢94.7¢$95+$23$0
Will Jasenko Omanovic be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?No8289.7¢99.4¢$82+$7.92$0
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Yes8066.7¢95.4¢$76+$23$0
Will Maria Lundqvist-Brömster be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?No6592.7¢99.8¢$64+$4.61$0
Will Gunnar Nordmark be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?No6194.3¢100¢$61+$3.44$0
Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?No6492.9¢94.2¢$60+$0.81$0
Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?No6193¢97¢$59+$2.47$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election?No5694.2¢99.8¢$56+$3.13$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election?No5494.5¢99.8¢$54+$2.84$0
Will Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?No5396¢99.9¢$52+$2.02$0
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?Yes7475.5¢66.5¢$49−$6.69$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election?No4594¢99.4¢$45+$2.43$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election?No4592¢99.2¢$44+$3.20$0
Will Jenny Lundström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?No2096¢99.9¢$20+$0.78$0
Will Elisabeth Björk be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?No2095¢99.4¢$20+$0.87$0
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No15525.4¢0¢$0−$39−$1.17
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes8940.2¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes759¢0¢$0−$6.75−$0.31
Will TEAM VISION Qualify to The International 2026No784¢0¢$0−$6.25−$0.03

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?75.5¢74$5696%67
BUY YesWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?76.8¢175$13496%67
BUY YesWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?9¢75$6.7596%67
BUY YesWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?81¢111$9096%67
BUY YesWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?73¢111$8196%67
BUY YesWill PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?38¢20$7.6096%67
BUY NoWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?25.4¢155$3996%67
BUY YesWill PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?76.2¢100$7696%67
BUY YesWill Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?73¢53$3996%67
BUY YesWill Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?73¢20$1596%67
BUY NoWill Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?96¢53$5096%67
BUY NoWill Jasenko Omanovic be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?89.7¢82$7496%67
BUY YesWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?36¢40$1496%67
BUY NoWill Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?95¢42$4096%67
BUY NoWill Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?97¢20$1996%67
BUY NoWill Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?96¢27$2596%67
BUY NoWill Jenny Lundström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?96¢20$1996%67
BUY YesWill Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?67.4¢192$13096%67
BUY NoWill Gunnar Nordmark be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?94.3¢61$5896%67
BUY YesWill Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?66.8¢80$5396%67