PnL all-time+$10.4kvol $444k
PnL 30d+$15.7kgains $20.7k · losses $23.5k
PnL 7d+$500win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate42.1%adj 42.9% · 30d 10.9%
Open value$4,123cash n/a
Positions11 / 202open / all-time
Max drawdown−80.4%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 16d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$6,762below peak −$4,056Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 42.1% · shrunk toward 50%7
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d44
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity20
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yesclosed+$8,175US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$5,903Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$5,148Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yesclosed+$4,194GME halted on Tuesday? · Yesclosed+$2,323
Worst markets
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yesopen−$4,370Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · Yesopen−$3,503Trump + Logan Paul TikTok >50M views by Friday? · Noclosed−$1,857Trump + Logan Paul TikTok >100M views by Friday? · Noclosed−$1,539Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? · Yesclosed−$1,333
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 63.8k | 11.2¢ | 4.4¢ | $2,776 | −$4,370 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 1,715 | 48.4¢ | 71¢ | $1,218 | +$387 | +$0.20 | |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? | Yes | 128 | 24¢ | 62¢ | $79 | +$49 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 628 | 23.1¢ | 6.2¢ | $39 | −$106 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1,657 | 12.3¢ | 0.6¢ | $9.94 | −$194 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 120 | 4.9¢ | 1.1¢ | $1.26 | −$4.64 | +$7.76 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | Yes | 8,335 | 41.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,427 | −$76 | |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 212 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$106 | $0 | |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 110 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | Yes | 19 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.76 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.55 | $0 |
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