Traders/Unranked

MillyFilly

0x5c5…5b16

PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Sport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$112kvol $11.7M

PnL 30d+$1,341gains $51.1k · losses $60.3k

PnL 7d−$414win rate 7d 57.1%

Win rate40.6%adj 41.0% · 30d 31.5%

Open value$23.0kcash n/a

Positions130 / 4,906open / all-time

Max drawdown−26.5%of equity peak

Account age1.8ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$127kbelow peak −$907Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72

Adjusted win rateraw 40.6% · shrunk toward 50%3

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$12.2k Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Yesclosed+$7,709 Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$3,144 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Yesclosed+$2,442 Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Yesclosed+$2,440

Worst markets

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Noclosed−$2,353 Will Brian Harman win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Noclosed−$2,061 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Noclosed−$2,051 Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Noclosed−$2,048 Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Noclosed−$1,763

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	2,500	88¢	87.5¢	$2,187	−$12	$0	6mo
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	1,500	74.3¢	82.5¢	$1,238	+$123	+$475	3mo
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?	No	1,500	50¢	76¢	$1,140	+$390	$0	3mo
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	1,153	61.1¢	93.8¢	$1,081	+$376	$0	3mo
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	8,637	5.3¢	11.5¢	$989	+$528	$0	6mo
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	6,510	4.3¢	10.1¢	$654	+$376	$0	6mo
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	1,000	46¢	64.5¢	$645	+$185	$0	22d 5h
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10.5k	3.4¢	5.9¢	$622	+$266	+$4.29	25mo
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,787	2.6¢	17.8¢	$495	+$423	+$87	25mo
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?	No	499	84.8¢	98.9¢	$494	+$70	$0	3mo
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	500	93.8¢	96.1¢	$480	+$11	$0	6mo
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	6,149	4¢	7.5¢	$461	+$213	+$237	6mo
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?	No	499	84.8¢	92.1¢	$460	+$36	−$188	3mo
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	492	83.5¢	93¢	$458	+$47	$0	3mo
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	8,862	3.9¢	5.1¢	$448	+$106	$0	25mo
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South?	No	500	81.5¢	89¢	$445	+$38	$0	3mo
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?	No	500	65¢	85.5¢	$428	+$103	$0	3mo
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5,000	2.6¢	8.5¢	$425	+$295	$0	6mo
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2026 AFC South?	No	408	94¢	98.6¢	$403	+$19	−$40	3mo
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	No	500	72¢	79.5¢	$398	+$38	$0	3mo
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	500	45.2¢	75.5¢	$377	+$151	+$11	3mo
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5,000	2.6¢	7.2¢	$357	+$228	$0	6mo
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?	Yes	500	54¢	70.5¢	$352	+$82	$0	3mo
Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	500	48.6¢	68.9¢	$344	+$101	$0	3mo
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,500	25¢	22.8¢	$341	−$34	$0	25mo
Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	385	85¢	86¢	$331	+$3.85	$0	3mo
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5,000	2.6¢	6.3¢	$312	+$183	$0	6mo
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	No	500	75¢	61.5¢	$308	−$68	$0	3mo
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	No	499	85.6¢	61¢	$305	−$123	$0	3mo
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,862	0.8¢	16.3¢	$303	+$288	$0	25mo
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	500	43¢	56.5¢	$283	+$68	$0	3mo
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	500	60¢	53¢	$265	−$35	$0	3mo
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	500	60.3¢	47¢	$235	−$67	$0	3mo
Will the Carolina Panthers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	424	71¢	54¢	$229	−$72	$0	3mo
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5,000	2.6¢	4.3¢	$215	+$85	$0	6mo
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	500	38.9¢	42.5¢	$212	+$18	$0	3mo
Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	238	81.2¢	88¢	$209	+$16	$0	3mo
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	9,219	1.8¢	2.2¢	$198	+$36	$0	25mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	209	83.1¢	91¢	$191	+$16	−$1.03	25mo
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2,369	7.3¢	7.9¢	$186	+$14	$0	25mo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	3,331	30.2¢	5.5¢	$183	−$821	$0	3mo
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5,010	2.6¢	3.2¢	$158	+$28	$0	6mo
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	188	57.5¢	81.5¢	$154	+$45	−$0.26	3mo
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5,000	2.6¢	3.1¢	$152	+$23	$0	6mo
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	500	15¢	28.4¢	$142	+$67	$0	3mo
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	500	37¢	26.5¢	$133	−$53	$0	3mo
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	143	84¢	88.5¢	$126	+$6.43	$0	3mo
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	156	70.7¢	78.5¢	$123	+$12	$0	3mo
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	161	62¢	70¢	$113	+$13	$0	3mo
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	286	28.7¢	38.5¢	$110	+$28	$0	3mo
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	499	32.7¢	20.5¢	$102	−$61	$0	3mo
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5,500	2.6¢	1.9¢	$102	−$42	$0	6mo
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?	Yes	166	53.9¢	60¢	$99	+$10	$0	3mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,862	0.8¢	2.5¢	$95	+$64	+$77	25mo
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5,090	2.9¢	1.9¢	$94	−$51	−$5.69	6mo
Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	284	21¢	32.5¢	$92	+$33	$0	3mo
Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	500	23¢	18¢	$90	−$25	$0	3mo
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	102	82¢	83.5¢	$85	+$1.53	$0	3mo
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	88	49¢	97.3¢	$85	+$42	+$189	3mo
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	500	30¢	17¢	$85	−$65	$0	3mo
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	130	66.3¢	62.5¢	$81	−$4.89	$0	3mo
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	2,488	2.6¢	3.2¢	$78	+$14	+$283	6mo
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	113	72¢	63.5¢	$72	−$9.64	$0	3mo
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	67	93.1¢	93.7¢	$63	+$0.40	+$114	25mo
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5,480	2.5¢	1.1¢	$58	−$79	$0	6mo
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?	Yes	221	26¢	22.5¢	$50	−$7.72	$0	3mo
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,862	0.8¢	1.3¢	$48	+$18	$0	25mo
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,862	1.5¢	0.7¢	$45	−$61	$0	25mo
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	148	27.4¢	27.5¢	$41	+$0.14	$0	3mo
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.9k	1.3¢	0.3¢	$40	−$159	$0	25mo
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	464	7¢	8.5¢	$39	+$6.88	$0	3mo
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	42	58¢	87.5¢	$37	+$12	$0	3mo
Will the Tennessee Titans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	38	90¢	97.4¢	$37	+$2.77	$0	3mo
Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	122	51¢	25.5¢	$31	−$31	$0	3mo
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	225	35¢	13.5¢	$30	−$48	$0	3mo
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	44	66¢	63.5¢	$28	−$1.10	$0	3mo
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	2,875	2.6¢	0.9¢	$24	−$50	−$32	6mo
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,862	0.7¢	0.4¢	$24	−$22	$0	25mo
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,862	0.8¢	0.6¢	$23	−$7.00	$0	25mo
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?	No	29	66¢	78.5¢	$23	+$3.68	$0	3mo
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	28	79¢	83.5¢	$23	+$1.24	$0	3mo
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	500	13¢	4.1¢	$20	−$45	$0	3mo
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?	No	31	68¢	62.5¢	$20	−$1.72	$0	3mo
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	4,845	2.4¢	0.4¢	$19	−$95	−$19	6mo
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	50	52.9¢	34.5¢	$17	−$9.14	$0	3mo
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10.9k	1.2¢	0.2¢	$16	−$113	$0	25mo
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	500	8.6¢	2.9¢	$15	−$28	$0	3mo
Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	17	88¢	87.5¢	$15	−$0.08	$0	3mo
Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	72	2.6¢	19.1¢	$14	+$12	$0	3mo
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7,862	0.7¢	0.2¢	$12	−$40	$0	25mo
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	1,970	2.6¢	0.5¢	$11	−$40	−$29	6mo
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,862	0.8¢	0.3¢	$9.66	−$21	$0	25mo
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,862	0.8¢	0.3¢	$9.66	−$21	$0	25mo
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	28	52.7¢	31.5¢	$8.69	−$5.86	$0	3mo
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	14	70¢	62.5¢	$8.44	−$1.01	$0	3mo
Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	9	75¢	67.5¢	$6.11	−$0.68	$0	3mo
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?	Yes	16	15¢	37.5¢	$6.00	+$3.60	$0	3mo
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?	Yes	10	62¢	59¢	$5.90	−$0.30	$0	3mo
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,862	0.8¢	0.2¢	$5.79	−$24	$0	25mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,862	0.8¢	0.2¢	$5.79	−$24	$0	25mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	0.4¢	5,000	$20	41%	58
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	0.6¢	895	$5.37	41%	58
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2.3¢	864	$20	41%	58
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	4.9¢	44	$2.16	41%	58
2d ago	BUY Cardinals	Lions vs. Cardinals	31¢	500	$155	41%	58
2d ago	BUY Chargers	Broncos vs. Chargers	37¢	500	$185	41%	58
2d ago	BUY Dolphins	Bengals vs. Dolphins	25¢	500	$125	41%	58
2d ago	BUY Browns	Browns vs. Jets	44¢	500	$220	41%	58
2d ago	BUY Giants	Giants vs. Commanders	37¢	500	$185	41%	58
2d ago	BUY Packers	Bears vs. Packers	48¢	500	$240	41%	58
2d ago	BUY Eagles	Eagles vs. Jaguars	24¢	500	$120	41%	58
17d ago	BUY Packers	Falcons vs. Packers	69¢	500	$345	41%	58
18d ago	BUY No	Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	27¢	100	$27	41%	58
18d ago	BUY Broncos	Rams vs. Broncos	43¢	50	$22	41%	58
18d ago	BUY Buccaneers	Vikings vs. Buccaneers	48¢	500	$240	41%	58
18d ago	BUY Bills	Chargers vs. Bills	76¢	500	$380	41%	58
18d ago	BUY Browns	Panthers vs. Browns	42¢	500	$210	41%	58
18d ago	BUY Dolphins	Chiefs vs. Dolphins	15¢	500	$75	41%	58
18d ago	BUY Commanders	Seahawks vs. Commanders	26¢	500	$130	41%	58
18d ago	BUY Packers	Falcons vs. Packers	70¢	500	$350	41%	58