sharpside
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0x5c6…67c1
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$20.7kvol $1.17M
PnL 30d−$1,161gains $274 · losses $0.76
PnL 7d+$349win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate94.6%adj 92.9% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$58.9kcash n/a
Positions89 / 691open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.9%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 19d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$21.1kbelow peak −$1,239Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 94.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d36
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 89

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US military draft authorized in 2026?No5,96795.3¢96.5¢$5,758+$73$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No6,29484.7¢61.5¢$3,871−$1,461$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No3,93586.7¢90.5¢$3,561+$150$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes3,85180.9¢84.5¢$3,254+$139$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No3,63779.9¢84.5¢$3,074+$166$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No3,28176.9¢77.5¢$2,542+$20+$21
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No2,41598.2¢98.4¢$2,375+$3.62+$146
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes2,70777.1¢78.5¢$2,125+$38+$31
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No2,26588.7¢89.5¢$2,027+$19$0
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Yes2,00396.5¢97¢$1,942+$8.16$0
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Yes1,70096.7¢97.8¢$1,663+$19$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No1,64489¢93.5¢$1,538+$74+$64
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?No1,70085.1¢89.5¢$1,521+$76$0
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No1,81385.6¢77.5¢$1,405−$146$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes1,57486.1¢77.5¢$1,220−$135$0
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,30374.3¢93.1¢$1,212+$244$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes1,27284.3¢90.5¢$1,151+$79+$14
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes1,18291.8¢94¢$1,111+$26+$71
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes1,10093.2¢98.4¢$1,082+$56+$756
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes1,10086.3¢88.5¢$973+$25$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?No1,06845.2¢88.5¢$945+$463$0
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?No92991.7¢97.5¢$905+$54+$26
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?No80093¢94¢$752+$8.00$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes76788.2¢87.5¢$671−$5.66+$74
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No77974.4¢85.5¢$666+$86+$25
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Yes61887.6¢92.5¢$571+$30$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Yes64983¢85.5¢$555+$16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?No50088¢92.5¢$463+$23$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes61380.5¢73.5¢$451−$43$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes50084¢89.5¢$448+$28$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?Yes50085¢89¢$445+$20$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?No50091¢88.5¢$443−$13$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?Yes50085¢87.5¢$438+$13$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No50088.2¢87.5¢$437−$3.50$0
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?No45075.7¢96.6¢$434+$94$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?No50882.9¢85.5¢$434+$13$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Yes63168.4¢65.5¢$413−$18$0
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?No40190.3¢93.3¢$374+$12$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,00055.7¢36.5¢$365−$192+$54
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?No36591.6¢92.7¢$339+$4.07$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?No45680¢73.5¢$335−$30$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?Yes33483¢92¢$307+$30$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?No30084¢98.7¢$296+$44$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?No30388.9¢95.4¢$289+$20+$0.29
Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Yes30085¢90.5¢$272+$17$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Yes26083.6¢95.5¢$249+$31+$150
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Yes23885¢93¢$221+$19$0
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?No22260.6¢89.6¢$199+$65$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No18996.9¢97.5¢$184+$1.04+$0.75
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?No19189.5¢95¢$181+$11+$5.70
GTA VI released by October 31?No17098.2¢99.4¢$169+$2.04$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?Yes17079¢91.8¢$156+$22$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?Yes15983¢96.8¢$153+$22$0
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?No14087¢95.7¢$134+$12+$13
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes15075¢88.5¢$133+$20$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?Yes13984¢94.5¢$131+$15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-11 House seat?No13185¢96.3¢$126+$15$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes22755¢46.5¢$106−$19$0
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?No11475¢89.9¢$103+$17$0
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?No10486.9¢96.3¢$100+$9.68+$11
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No10097.5¢98¢$98+$0.45+$88
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes10194.5¢94.2¢$95−$0.30$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No15380¢61.5¢$94−$28$0
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes9686¢95.9¢$92+$9.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?No20056¢45.5¢$91−$21$0
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028?No8364¢84.7¢$70+$17$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?Yes6985¢95¢$65+$6.88$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Yes6688¢94.5¢$62+$4.29$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No7387.1¢83.5¢$61−$2.59+$9.87
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?No6189.5¢95.5¢$58+$3.62+$8.58
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No6075¢96¢$58+$13$0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Yes4090.6¢96.9¢$39+$2.50$0
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No3775¢88¢$32+$4.79$0
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?No2988¢90.5¢$26+$0.73+$13
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?No2574¢94¢$24+$5.00+$0.30
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?No3566¢65.5¢$23−$0.17$0
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?No2290¢92.1¢$20+$0.45$0
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?No2090¢92¢$18+$0.40$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1682¢96.2¢$15+$2.29+$22
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Yes1290.3¢92.4¢$11+$0.25$0
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?No984.4¢97.1¢$9.13+$1.19+$12
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?No891.5¢92.1¢$7.51+$0.05+$1.22
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?No685¢96.2¢$5.37+$0.62+$3.59
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No584¢96.6¢$4.83+$0.63+$29
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?No589.9¢95.6¢$4.78+$0.28$0
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?No586.1¢94.7¢$4.73+$0.43$0
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?No185.8¢92.6¢$1.38+$0.10$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?Yes190¢96.2¢$1.23+$0.08$0
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes870¢5.4¢$0.45−$5.44$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?97.2¢20$1995%78Sharp
SELL NoUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?97.8¢10$9.7895%78Sharp
SELL NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?99.7¢59$5995%78Sharp
SELL NoTrump out as President by September 30?99.6¢800$79795%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98.2¢140$13795%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?97.6¢34$3495%78Sharp
SELL NoWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?97.1¢181$17695%78Sharp
SELL NoWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?97.2¢129$12695%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?91.4¢350$32095%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?91.6¢351$32195%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?99.1¢54$5395%78Sharp
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?99¢474$47095%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?88.4¢7$6.2695%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?96¢1,000$96095%78Sharp
SELL NoWill John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?99.7¢24$2495%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by August 15?92¢140$12995%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?98.8¢1$0.9995%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?99.7¢1,000$99795%78Sharp
SELL NoHuman moon landing in 2026?97¢0$0.3595%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?99.4¢1,436$1,42895%78Sharp