PnL all-time−$7,353vol $215k
PnL 30d+$587gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$250win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.4%adj 55.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$34.6kcash n/a
Positions6 / 13open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$4,552below peak −$27.4kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
10/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.4% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable37
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Noclosed+$6,912Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? · Noopen+$2,348Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? · Noclosed+$2,222Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Noopen+$2,011Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yesclosed+$1,665
Worst markets
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Noopen−$9,337MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$5,480MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$5,434Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$586Trump out as President before 2027? · Noopen−$54
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 17.0k | 85.4¢ | 96¢ | $16.3k | +$1,792 | +$219 | |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | No | 9,024 | 74¢ | 100¢ | $9,024 | +$2,348 | $0 | |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,880 | 90¢ | 96¢ | $7,561 | +$469 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1,811 | 85.3¢ | 96¢ | $1,738 | +$192 | −$246 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 24.8k | 37.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,337 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 15.6k | 33.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,294 | −$140 |
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