PnL all-time−$3,070vol $468k
PnL 30d−$184gains $2.53 · losses $469
PnL 7d−$115win rate 7d 20.0%
Win rate7.9%adj 11.3% · 30d 6.7%
Open value$0.05cash n/a
Positions1 / 241open / all-time
Max drawdown−96.8%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 11h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,712below peak −$2,625Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 7.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity3
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed+$15Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Noclosed+$6.07Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed+$2.40Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Noclosed+$2.32Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1.93
Worst markets
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed−$126Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yesclosed−$93US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noclosed−$83Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yesclosed−$80Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma? · Yesclosed−$79
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1 | 25.2¢ | 4.5¢ | $0.05 | −$0.25 | −$40 |
Recent trades
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