sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,302

RobotAlpha

0x5ce…f779
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,673vol $650k
PnL 30d+$106gains $385 · losses $182
PnL 7d−$39win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate72.9%adj 72.0% · 30d 61.3%
Open value$15.1kcash n/a
Positions178 / 683open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 6d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,160below peak −$180Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 72.9% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d79
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes3,41364.7¢93.5¢$3,191+$983$0
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?No2,17580.1¢92¢$2,001+$258$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?No1,57488.7¢96.9¢$1,524+$129−$6.70
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?No1,41464.1¢90¢$1,272+$367+$21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No82570¢69.5¢$573−$4.12$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes70376¢72.5¢$510−$25$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No50087¢90.5¢$453+$18$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢48.4¢$415+$408$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No50178.5¢82.3¢$412+$19$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo38992¢90.5¢$352−$5.84$0
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No35885.2¢92.5¢$331+$26$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No45063.6¢61.5¢$277−$9.44$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?Yes29191¢93.5¢$272+$7.26+$11
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?No29364¢89.5¢$262+$75+$8.82
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?No27574.2¢93.1¢$256+$52$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes30070¢72.5¢$218+$7.50$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No40046¢54¢$216+$32$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No36461¢54.5¢$198−$24−$0.14
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No20090¢88¢$176−$4.00$0
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?No20086¢85.5¢$171−$1.00$0
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?No17785.7¢91¢$161+$9.35$0
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No17774.8¢90¢$159+$27+$9.23
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes20066¢77¢$154+$22$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes20081¢76¢$152−$10.00$0
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes24087.1¢62¢$149−$60$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Yes14078.6¢93.5¢$131+$21+$15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢14.8¢$126+$120$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?Yes12574.6¢90.5¢$113+$20$0
Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?No10085¢87¢$87+$2.00$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No17858¢45.5¢$81−$22$0
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes8386¢94.5¢$78+$7.05+$15
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No9578¢72.5¢$69−$5.22$0
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?Yes5691¢91.5¢$51+$0.28+$9.83
Will the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?Yes5079.9¢89.5¢$45+$4.76+$32
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No5087¢88.5¢$44+$0.75$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes5087¢88.5¢$44+$0.75$0
Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes4591¢92.4¢$42+$0.61+$15
Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes8156.2¢40¢$32−$13+$2.34
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes2534.9¢12.5¢$32+$19$0
Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?Yes14912.3¢20¢$30+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?Yes2469.6¢91¢$22+$5.07+$32
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢2.5¢$21+$15$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢2.4¢$20+$14$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes25046¢6.5¢$16−$99+$45
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢1.7¢$14+$7.57$0
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No1844.3¢63.5¢$11+$3.40+$51
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes55818.2¢1.9¢$11−$91$0
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes2040¢49.5¢$9.90+$1.90$0
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes2206.4¢3.5¢$7.59−$6.41$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?Yes879.1¢93.5¢$7.39+$1.13+$22
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.9¢$7.27+$0.73$0
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?Yes3066¢19.5¢$5.85−$14−$3.20
Will Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election?Yes930¢51.5¢$4.77+$1.99$0
Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?Yes170.3¢17.5¢$3.01+$2.96$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.4¢$3.00−$3.55$0
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.4¢$3.00−$3.55$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.4¢$3.00−$3.55$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.4¢$3.00−$3.55$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat?Yes644.1¢3.5¢$2.22−$0.40$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.3¢$2.14−$4.41$0
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.3¢$2.14−$4.41$0
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.3¢$2.14−$4.41$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.3¢$2.14−$4.41$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?No283¢93.5¢$1.87+$0.21+$2.26
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat?Yes206¢8.5¢$1.70+$0.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?No262¢70.5¢$1.55+$0.19$0
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes559.5¢2.8¢$1.51−$3.69$0
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?No283¢94.5¢$1.46+$0.18+$104
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.2¢$1.28−$5.27$0
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Yes183¢96.5¢$1.23+$0.17$0
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6050.8¢0.2¢$0.91−$3.72−$0.96
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?Yes206¢4.1¢$0.81−$0.39$0
Will Republicans win the Texas Senate seat, and Democrats win Michigan and Maine?Yes209¢3¢$0.60−$1.20$0
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.1¢$0.43−$6.12$0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.1¢$0.43−$6.12$0
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.1¢$0.43−$6.12$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.1¢$0.43−$6.12$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.1¢$0.43−$6.12$0
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.1¢$0.43−$6.12$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.1¢$0.43−$6.12$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8560.8¢0.1¢$0.43−$6.12$0
Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?Yes229¢1.8¢$0.39−$1.62$0
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?Yes209¢1.8¢$0.36−$1.44$0
Will the government shutdown end November 13?No6,42688¢0¢$0−$5,655$0
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes2,34756.3¢0¢$0−$1,321$0
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance1,51159.4¢0¢$0−$898$0
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No1,28660.8¢0¢$0−$781$0
Will Spain finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,00128¢0¢$0−$280$0
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt87789¢0¢$0−$780−$2.57
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No87153.3¢0¢$0−$464$0
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes7623.6¢0¢$0−$27−$5.25

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢389$35873%53
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?60¢7$4.1473%53
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?56.2¢121$6873%53
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?70¢405$28373%53
SELL YesWill "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?0.1¢2$073%53
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026?87¢46$4073%53
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026?88.6¢47$4273%53
BUY YesWill "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?72¢254$18373%53
BUY YesWill Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?0.3¢17$0.0573%53
SELL YesWill "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?4¢19$0.7873%53
SELL YesSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?42.3¢301$12773%53
SELL YesWill the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?7.1¢59$4.2073%53
SELL YesWill the Orlando Magic be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?2¢253$5.0773%53
SELL YesWill the Charlotte Hornets be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?1.3¢253$3.3073%53
SELL YesWill the Milwaukee Bucks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?0.4¢253$1.0173%53
SELL YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?1¢150$1.5073%53
SELL YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?1.4¢35$0.4973%53
SELL YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?3.3¢54$1.7873%53
BUY NoWill Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?86¢81$7073%53
BUY NoWill Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?83¢50$4273%53