sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

can111

0x5cf…ca1b
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$4,716vol $475k
PnL 30d+$1,068gains $2,655 · losses $300
PnL 7d−$246win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate81.0%adj 79.8% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$13.5kcash n/a
Positions166 / 678open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,923below peak −$5,209Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 81.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes12.2k82¢79.5¢$9,699−$305$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No1,33375¢79.5¢$1,060+$60$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No1,08692¢96.5¢$1,047+$48+$0.05
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No1,05794.6¢97.3¢$1,028+$28$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes59284.4¢87.1¢$516+$16−$21
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,00013¢13.5¢$135+$5.00$0
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes90911¢0.9¢$8.18−$92$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes2003.2¢3.3¢$6.60+$0.20$0
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes5701.8¢0.4¢$2.00−$8.00$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0000.1¢0.1¢$0.50−$0.50$0
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes30.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$190$0
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustYes5,67988.1¢0¢$0−$5,001$0
Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots2,50032¢0¢$0−$800$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,5636.4¢0¢$0−$100−$2.81
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?No1,43469.8¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
US government shutdown Saturday?No1,32275.6¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?No1,11190¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
France vs. England: O/U 6.5Under1,0319.7¢0¢$0−$100−$4.52
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes98051¢0¢$0−$500−$7.35
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton76913¢0¢$0−$100−$4.35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?Yes75553¢0¢$0−$400−$5.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes75253.2¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes74127¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?Yes70257¢0¢$0−$400−$5.16
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No63233.2¢0¢$0−$210$0
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes62516¢0¢$0−$100−$2.52
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes61082¢0¢$0−$500−$2.70
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerSinner61082¢0¢$0−$500$0
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5Under52653¢0¢$0−$279$0
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-09?Yes52638¢0¢$0−$200−$3.72
Silver (SI) Up or Down on December 24?Down51067.2¢0¢$0−$343$0
Spread: France (-1.5)France50859¢0¢$0−$300−$3.69
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes42371¢0¢$0−$300−$2.61
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?Yes40612.3¢0¢$0−$50+$49
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No40549.4¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes40075¢0¢$0−$300−$3.75
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes40010.3¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?Yes39350.9¢0¢$0−$200−$2.95
Grokipedia released by October 31?No37326.8¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes37054¢0¢$0−$200−$2.76
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?Yes37027¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No36227.6¢0¢$0−$100$0
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin TiranteThiago Agustin Tirante35827.9¢0¢$0−$100−$2.16
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-16?Yes35728¢0¢$0−$100−$2.16
Spread: Lions (-6.5)Lions35756¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?Yes34728.8¢0¢$0−$100−$2.14
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?No34529¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)Colts34558¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?Yes34158.6¢0¢$0−$200−$2.48
Panthers vs. PackersPackers34188¢0¢$0−$300$0
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No33489.9¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Trump sue the BBC?No32965¢0¢$0−$214$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes32676.7¢0¢$0−$250+$43
Spread: Newcastle (-0.5)Newcastle32362¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?Yes31763¢0¢$0−$200−$2.22
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC29434¢0¢$0−$100−$1.98
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes2867¢0¢$0−$20$0
OpenAI browser by October 31?No28171.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?Yes27872¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?Yes27473¢0¢$0−$200−$1.62
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? No27273.6¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes27173.8¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?No27074¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No27074¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Yes25678.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-11?Yes25239.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes25040¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?Yes25040¢0¢$0−$100−$1.80
Cardinals vs. ChargersChargers25080¢0¢$0−$200−$2.00
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over24781¢0¢$0−$200−$1.14
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?Yes24640.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy PaulTommy Paul24540.8¢0¢$0−$100−$1.78
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No23884¢0¢$0−$200$0
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio BuseFlavio Cobolli23742.1¢0¢$0−$100−$1.74
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?Yes23343¢0¢$0−$100$0
Jaguars vs. 49ers49ers22344.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes22245¢0¢$0−$100−$1.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?Yes21593¢0¢$0−$200$0
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver21546.6¢0¢$0−$100−$1.60
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 4.5Under21446.8¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Eagles21347¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Jaguars20848¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: Packers (-13.5)Packers20848¢0¢$0−$100$0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton20848¢0¢$0−$100−$1.56
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC20548.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam20449¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes20058¢0¢$0−$116$0
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-26?Yes20050¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5)Buccaneers20050¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)Bears19651¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?Yes19252¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes19152.4¢0¢$0−$100−$2.38
Spread: Chargers (-9.5)Chargers18953¢0¢$0−$100$0
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Buccaneers18554¢0¢$0−$100$0
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Over18554¢0¢$0−$100−$1.38
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?Yes18354.8¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?Yes18254.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-03?Yes18255¢0¢$0−$100−$1.35
OpenAI social app in 2025?No18055.4¢0¢$0−$100+$9.26
Spread: Bills (-8.5)Bills17956¢0¢$0−$100$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY FalconsSpread: Falcons (-2.5)58¢172$10081%45
BUY PackersSpread: Bears (-3.5)62¢161$10081%45
SELL DolphinsSpread: Vikings (-13.5)57¢175$10081%45
BUY BroncosSpread: 49ers (-3.5)63¢159$10081%45
BUY DolphinsSpread: Vikings (-13.5)57¢175$10081%45
BUY RaidersSpread: Chiefs (-3.5)61¢164$10081%45
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.4¢592$50081%45
SELL BillsSpread: Bills (-2.5)32¢23$7.3681%45
BUY CardinalsSpread: Cardinals (-6.5)53¢5$2.6581%45
BUY BearsSpread: Bears (-3.5)56.4¢177$10081%45
BUY BillsSpread: Bills (-2.5)56¢179$10081%45
BUY UnderSpain vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.574¢135$10081%45
SELL YesWill England win on 2026-10-03?99.9¢488$48781%45
SELL EnglandSpread: England (-1.5)99.9¢125$12581%45
SELL YesEngland leading at halftime?99.9¢102$10281%45
BUY EnglandSpread: England (-1.5)79.9¢125$10081%45
BUY YesEngland leading at halftime?87¢102$8981%45
BUY YesWill England win on 2026-10-03?82¢488$40081%45
SELL OverBelgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.553¢89$4781%45
BUY OverBelgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.556¢179$10081%45