PnL all-time+$112vol $2,228
PnL 30d−$0.80gains $0.83 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2.44win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$794cash n/a
Positions9 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.2%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$246below peak −$21Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election? · Noclosed+$111Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? · Yesopen+$57Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · Noopen+$31Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat? · Noopen+$27Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? · Noopen+$15
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat? | No | 313 | 79¢ | 87.5¢ | $274 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | Yes | 315 | 40.3¢ | 58.5¢ | $185 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 133 | 93¢ | 95.9¢ | $128 | +$3.86 | $0 | |
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? | No | 110 | 85¢ | 98.5¢ | $109 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | No | 53 | 40.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $53 | +$31 | +$0.19 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | Yes | 52 | 73.3¢ | 72.5¢ | $38 | −$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | Yes | 140 | 10.9¢ | 5.9¢ | $8.23 | −$6.93 | $0 | |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 102 | 1.3¢ | 1.4¢ | $1.38 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5 | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.02 |
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