| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 37.9k | 1.4¢ | 34.4¢ | $13.0k | +$12.5k | +$342 | |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 8,050 | 80.4¢ | 95.4¢ | $7,676 | +$1,206 | +$169 | |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 17.1¢ | $7,570 | +$6,939 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 8,278 | 60¢ | 70.5¢ | $5,836 | +$869 | −$262 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 11.9¢ | $5,268 | +$4,637 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 6,403 | 23.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $5,154 | +$3,628 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,740 | 86.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $4,527 | +$437 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 5,000 | 56.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $4,275 | +$1,428 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 4,230 | 90.1¢ | 93.9¢ | $3,970 | +$159 | +$4.97 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 4,804 | 57¢ | 77.5¢ | $3,723 | +$985 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 3,772 | 89.8¢ | 90¢ | $3,395 | +$9.42 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 3,631 | 79¢ | 78.5¢ | $2,850 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 4,266 | 49.7¢ | 65.5¢ | $2,794 | +$676 | $0 | |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 6.1¢ | $2,678 | +$2,047 | $0 | |
| Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision? | No | 2,450 | 80.9¢ | 96.3¢ | $2,359 | +$377 | +$73 | |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 5.2¢ | $2,302 | +$1,671 | $0 | |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,200 | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $2,079 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 4.6¢ | $2,036 | +$1,405 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2,839 | 64.2¢ | 71.3¢ | $2,024 | +$202 | $0 | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 2,646 | 53.4¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,945 | +$531 | $0 | |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 31.0k | 1.4¢ | 6.1¢ | $1,892 | +$1,450 | +$10 | |
| Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 4.2¢ | $1,837 | +$1,206 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,859 | 82¢ | 77¢ | $1,431 | −$93 | $0 | |
| Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision? | No | 1,393 | 85.4¢ | 97.8¢ | $1,363 | +$173 | +$11 | |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,600 | 77.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,304 | +$60 | +$13 | |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | Yes | 2,203 | 45.3¢ | 56.4¢ | $1,243 | +$244 | $0 | |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | No | 1,385 | 52.8¢ | 89¢ | $1,232 | +$501 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 4,000 | 73¢ | 29.5¢ | $1,180 | −$1,740 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 1,564 | 56¢ | 74.5¢ | $1,165 | +$289 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 6,999 | 52¢ | 16¢ | $1,120 | −$2,520 | $0 | |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | No | 1,152 | 88¢ | 96.3¢ | $1,109 | +$95 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 1,985 | 16.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $1,102 | +$774 | $0 | |
| Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 2.5¢ | $1,085 | +$453 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5,949 | 41.6¢ | 17.8¢ | $1,062 | −$1,412 | −$2,084 | |
| Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026? | No | 1,082 | 71¢ | 96.5¢ | $1,043 | +$275 | $0 | |
| Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 2.3¢ | $996 | +$365 | $0 | |
| Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 2.3¢ | $996 | +$365 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 5,000 | 64.2¢ | 19.5¢ | $975 | −$2,235 | $0 | |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | No | 1,313 | 62¢ | 73¢ | $959 | +$144 | $0 | |
| Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 2.1¢ | $930 | +$298 | $0 | |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? | Yes | 1,511 | 20.3¢ | 59.5¢ | $899 | +$593 | $0 | |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | No | 4,000 | 27.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $860 | −$240 | +$56 | |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | Yes | 5,449 | 19.6¢ | 15.5¢ | $845 | −$224 | $0 | |
| Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 1.9¢ | $841 | +$210 | $0 | |
| Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 920 | 89.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $833 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 1.9¢ | $819 | +$188 | $0 | |
| Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? | No | 883 | 69¢ | 90.5¢ | $799 | +$190 | $0 | |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31? | No | 807 | 80.3¢ | 96¢ | $775 | +$126 | $0 | |
| Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 1.7¢ | $753 | +$121 | $0 | |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 747 | 92¢ | 89.5¢ | $668 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 7,000 | 38.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $665 | −$2,035 | $0 | |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | Yes | 919 | 61¢ | 69¢ | $634 | +$74 | $0 | |
| Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 43.1k | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | $624 | +$10 | +$2.77 | |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 1.4¢ | $598 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | No | 670 | 87¢ | 87.5¢ | $586 | +$3.35 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 1,500 | 77¢ | 39¢ | $585 | −$570 | +$42 | |
| Will Ilham Tohti win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $575 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | No | 634 | 81.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $535 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 1.2¢ | $531 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 581 | 68¢ | 86.5¢ | $503 | +$107 | $0 | |
| Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027? | Yes | 826 | 35.9¢ | 56.5¢ | $467 | +$170 | $0 | |
| Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 1¢ | $443 | −$189 | $0 | |
| Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 1¢ | $443 | −$189 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | No | 1,859 | 19¢ | 23¢ | $428 | +$74 | $0 | |
| Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 437 | 90¢ | 97¢ | $423 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | Yes | 940 | 34¢ | 43.5¢ | $409 | +$89 | $0 | |
| Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30? | Yes | 464 | 78¢ | 88¢ | $409 | +$46 | +$13 | |
| Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | No | 468 | 85¢ | 86¢ | $402 | +$4.68 | $0 | |
| Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $398 | −$233 | $0 | |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? | Yes | 1,006 | 19.5¢ | 39.5¢ | $398 | +$201 | $0 | |
| Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 401 | 84¢ | 98.9¢ | $396 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina? | No | 382 | 94.3¢ | 99.2¢ | $379 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026? | No | 471 | 82.8¢ | 79.5¢ | $374 | −$15 | +$30 | |
| Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 390 | 79.6¢ | 96.1¢ | $374 | +$64 | $0 | |
| Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | No | 417 | 80¢ | 81¢ | $338 | +$4.17 | $0 | |
| Will the Parents Circle – Families Forum win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.3k | 1.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $332 | −$299 | $0 | |
| Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? | No | 350 | 83.9¢ | 94.8¢ | $332 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 42.8k | 1.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $321 | −$289 | −$2.22 | |
| Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 44.8k | 1.5¢ | 0.7¢ | $314 | −$340 | $0 | |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 6? | No | 340 | 72¢ | 91.5¢ | $311 | +$66 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 3,028 | 0.9¢ | 10¢ | $303 | +$276 | +$98 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 351 | 42.7¢ | 85.5¢ | $300 | +$150 | $0 | |
| Manchester City punishment announced by October 23? | No | 308 | 75¢ | 92.6¢ | $285 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | No | 316 | 83.4¢ | 87.5¢ | $277 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 341 | 43.5¢ | 79¢ | $269 | +$121 | $0 | |
| Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision? | No | 282 | 84¢ | 95.2¢ | $268 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 30.3k | 1.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $242 | −$190 | +$35 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 40.8k | 1.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $224 | −$358 | −$6.26 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? | No | 373 | 45¢ | 59.5¢ | $222 | +$54 | +$1.96 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027? | No | 284 | 61.7¢ | 75.5¢ | $214 | +$39 | +$3.58 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 4,000 | 0.9¢ | 5.4¢ | $214 | +$179 | $0 | |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | No | 237 | 89.4¢ | 87¢ | $206 | −$5.69 | $0 | |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 41.0k | 1.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $205 | −$379 | −$25 | |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 4,000 | 0.9¢ | 5.1¢ | $202 | +$167 | $0 | |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? | Yes | 668 | 16.4¢ | 29.3¢ | $196 | +$86 | +$76 | |
| Will Flamengo win the 2027 Copa Libertadores? | Yes | 781 | 12.7¢ | 24.5¢ | $191 | +$92 | +$46 | |
| Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi? | Minnesota | 220 | 58.2¢ | 76.5¢ | $168 | +$40 | $0 | |
| SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 196 | 54¢ | 85.5¢ | $168 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? | No | 2,898 | 7.7¢ | 5.5¢ | $159 | −$65 | $0 | |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? | No | 180 | 61.6¢ | 88.5¢ | $159 | +$49 | $0 | |
