PnL all-time+$2,480vol $266k
PnL 30d+$464gains $723 · losses $360
PnL 7d+$77win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.5%adj 56.3% · 30d 53.6%
Open value$4,853cash n/a
Positions9 / 725open / all-time
Max drawdown−75.1%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,961below peak −$37Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 56.5% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity25
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Yesclosed+$347Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ? · Yesclosed+$278Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · Noclosed+$190Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool? · Yesclosed+$165Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yesclosed+$157
Worst markets
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4) · Yesclosed−$2,214Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11? · Yesclosed−$403Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix? · Noclosed−$366Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13? · Noclosed−$200Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? · Yesclosed−$173
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,574 | 92.2¢ | 96.3¢ | $1,515 | +$64 | $0 | |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,116 | 95.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,112 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 749 | 87¢ | 97.1¢ | $727 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 780 | 86.3¢ | 86.3¢ | $673 | −$0.26 | $0 | |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 428 | 89.7¢ | 89.9¢ | $385 | +$0.77 | $0 | |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | No | 341 | 88.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $328 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026? | No | 96 | 25.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $77 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ? | Yes | 50 | 35¢ | 45¢ | $23 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 196 | 10.7¢ | 7¢ | $14 | −$7.20 | $0 |
Recent trades
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