sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,070

cezarn132

0x5f1…519e
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$15.9kvol $5.39M
PnL 30d−$618gains $1,765 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$751win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate87.9%adj 84.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$52.9kcash n/a
Positions15 / 221open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$10.5kbelow peak −$126kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d80
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No36.6k61.4¢94.5¢$34.6k+$12.1k$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes39.4k63.5¢18.5¢$7,282−$17.7k$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No4,26375.1¢95.9¢$4,088+$888$0
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No3,94978.5¢96.5¢$3,811+$711$0
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No2,28956.8¢95.5¢$2,186+$886$0
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Yes76092.1¢96.7¢$735+$35$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes21370.4¢70.5¢$150+$0.17$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10694¢90.5¢$96−$3.72$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes168¢54.5¢$0.80−$0.20$0
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No52.6k72.8¢0¢$0−$38.3k−$416
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?No3,89679¢0¢$0−$3,078−$15.7k
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes328.9¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No259¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes263.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No167¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?94¢106$10088%43
BUY YesWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?70.4¢213$15088%43
BUY YesWill Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?68¢1$1.0088%43
BUY YesWill Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?91.7¢382$35088%43
BUY YesWill Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?92.5¢378$35088%43
BUY KKS Lech PoznańKKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: Team to Advance95.3¢10.2k$9,70088%43
BUY YesNATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?65.2¢767$50088%43
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?94.9¢10.5k$10.0k88%43
SELL NoWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?6.9¢21.4k$1,48988%43
BUY NoWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?79¢25.3k$20.0k88%43Whale
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?85¢11.8k$10.0k88%43
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?94¢10.6k$10.0k88%43
BUY NoWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?80¢13$1088%43
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?56¢8,929$5,00088%43
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?94.5¢1,799$1,70088%43
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?95.5¢17.8k$17.0k88%43Whale
BUY NoWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?80¢13$1088%43
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?59.9¢8,346$5,00088%43
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?67.9¢22.1k$15.0k88%43Whale
BUY NoWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?96.7¢10.3k$10.0k88%43