PnL all-time+$172vol $8,986
PnL 30d−$3.33gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$32win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 55.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,696cash n/a
Positions45 / 54open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.8%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 5h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$155below peak −$72Oct 15
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yesclosed+$163Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? · Yesclosed+$128Government shutdown on Saturday? · Noclosed+$46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$46Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title · Yesopen+$38
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | Yes | 2,872 | 50.7¢ | 49.5¢ | $1,422 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | Yes | 629 | 19¢ | 18.5¢ | $116 | −$3.14 | $0 | |
| Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 99 | 47.8¢ | 57.5¢ | $57 | +$9.56 | $0 | |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title | Yes | 55 | 31.2¢ | 100¢ | $55 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 141 | 35.6¢ | 19.5¢ | $27 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 100 | 24¢ | 19¢ | $19 | −$4.98 | $0 |
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