sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,051

DiaMat

0x5ff…f7f0
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,358vol $327k
PnL 30d+$319gains $2,984 · losses $2,517
PnL 7d−$1,658win rate 7d 84.6%
Win rate94.6%adj 86.7% · 30d 87.5%
Open value$78.7kcash n/a
Positions25 / 118open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.8%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,227below peak −$1,881Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 94.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No25.0k90.6¢94.5¢$23.6k+$982$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No18.0k82.2¢84.5¢$15.2k+$407$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No12.0k84.8¢83.5¢$10.0k−$156$0
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No8,00083.3¢91¢$7,280+$619$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No10.2k82.5¢68.1¢$6,939−$1,469$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No6,00070.3¢75.5¢$4,530+$314$0
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?No3,30496.8¢97.2¢$3,211+$12−$0.05
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?No2,00086.8¢83.9¢$1,678−$59$0
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?No1,25089.5¢92.5¢$1,156+$38$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No1,30071.7¢60¢$780−$153+$5.10
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?No69492.6¢98.6¢$684+$42$0
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No3,00015¢20.5¢$615+$164$0
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes3,00016¢19.5¢$585+$105$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No50094¢94¢$470$0$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No50092¢91¢$455−$5.00$0
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?No30087.4¢87.5¢$263+$0.26$0
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No25090.7¢95¢$238+$11$0
Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?No30087.9¢79¢$237−$27$0
Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?No25091.7¢93.2¢$233+$3.70$0
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No20095¢96.9¢$194+$3.79$0
Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?No15090.2¢85.5¢$128−$7.05$0
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?No10095.8¢98.3¢$98+$2.45$0
Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?No10093.9¢93.9¢$94−$0.05$0
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by November 30?No191¢91.5¢$0.97+$0.01$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No50094¢0¢$0−$470+$1.11

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoSyrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?93.9¢100$9495%67
SELL NoNo-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?97¢73$7195%67
SELL NoNo-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?97.1¢40$3995%67
BUY NoWill Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?91¢30$2795%67
BUY NoWill Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?90¢20$1895%67
SELL NoNo-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?97.1¢5$4.8595%67
BUY NoWill Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?90¢100$9095%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?49¢100$4995%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?49¢100$4995%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?49¢50$2595%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?48¢32$1695%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?47¢6$2.6695%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?40¢12$4.6695%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?48¢110$5395%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?47.8¢6$2.7495%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?47.6¢10$4.7695%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?48.6¢29$1495%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?42.6¢35$1595%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?54¢360$19495%67
BUY NoPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?52¢5$2.6095%67