PnL all-time+$265kvol $7.34M
PnL 30d−$347gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$195win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.1%adj 51.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,323cash n/a
Positions5 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−56.7%of equity peak
Account age2.8ylast trade 11mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$255kbelow peak −$333kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 57.1% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity43
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Noclosed+$262k[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$138kTrump and Biden both win nomination? · Noclosed+$127kWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed+$55.7k
Worst markets
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yesopen−$275kXi Jinping out before October? · Yesopen−$21.1kWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed−$16.2kXi Jinping out before 2027? · Yesopen−$10.0kWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed−$2,478
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 43.4k | 26.2¢ | 3.1¢ | $1,323 | −$10.0k | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Yes | 3.51M | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$275k | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before October? | Yes | 606k | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21.1k | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by 2025? | Yes | 19.0k | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,710 | $0 | |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.10 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 7¢ | 19.0k | $1,330 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 6¢ | 64.1k | $3,844 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 7¢ | 18.5k | $1,296 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 7¢ | 160k | $11.2k | 57% | 23 | Whale | ||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 7¢ | 160k | $11.2k | 57% | 23 | Whale | ||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | 18¢ | 5,150 | $927 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 8¢ | 54.3k | $4,344 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 8¢ | 43.4k | $3,472 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 8¢ | 89.0k | $7,120 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 8¢ | 43.4k | $3,472 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 9¢ | 72.8k | $6,552 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out before October? | 3.4¢ | 8 | $0.28 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 8¢ | 8,337 | $667 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 8¢ | 34.0k | $2,720 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out before October? | 4¢ | 13.3k | $540 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 10¢ | 54.0k | $5,400 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out before October? | 5¢ | 4,171 | $209 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 12¢ | 60.0k | $7,200 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out before October? | 4.6¢ | 100 | $4.60 | 57% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 11¢ | 99.0k | $10.9k | 57% | 23 | Whale |