PnL all-time−$94vol $5,183
PnL 30d−$116gains $75 · losses $146
PnL 7d−$96win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate42.1%adj 46.2% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$532cash n/a
Positions4 / 23open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.8%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$245below peak −$285Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 42.1% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity66
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yesclosed+$44Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? · Yesopen+$20Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month? · Noclosed+$17Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the Philippines by August 31? · Noclosed+$15Next GPT Sol (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$8.47
Worst markets
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · Noopen−$181Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yesclosed−$142Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yesclosed−$19Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yesopen−$11Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$9.38
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | No | 785 | 62.5¢ | 39.5¢ | $310 | −$181 | $0 | |
| Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? | Yes | 145 | 68.9¢ | 82.5¢ | $120 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 232 | 33.2¢ | 28.5¢ | $66 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 51 | 68¢ | 69.5¢ | $36 | +$0.77 | $0 |
Recent trades
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