PnL all-time+$210kvol $4.96M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate27.5%adj 35.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions7 / 47open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.4%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 11mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$210kbelow peak −$3,446Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 27.5% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? · Yesclosed+$156kYoon out as president of South Korea before April? · Noclosed+$36.5kWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$31.6kWill Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? · Noclosed+$5,726Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$2,720
Worst markets
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? · Noclosed−$11.4kWill Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League? · Yesclosed−$6,053Will Inter Milan win the Serie A? · Yesclosed−$1,293Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League? · Noclosed−$1,289Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yesopen−$1,134
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 258k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$258 | $0 | |
| Will Trump resign today? | Yes | 84.9k | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$595 | $0 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 81.1k | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,134 | $0 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | No | 35.2k | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$599 | −$303 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 6,847 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$171 | $0 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 2,435 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$268 | $0 | |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 476 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$105 | $0 |
Recent trades
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