PnL all-time+$1,596vol $203k
PnL 30d+$1,835gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$493win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.9%adj 70.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$62.2kcash n/a
Positions12 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$9,835below peak −$765Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 83.9% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Noopen+$3,106Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$2,850Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$2,062Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$2,024Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$1,950
Worst markets
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 29.6k | 90.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $28.8k | +$2,062 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 20.1k | 77¢ | 92.5¢ | $18.6k | +$3,106 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,000 | 88¢ | 97.5¢ | $6,821 | +$661 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,000 | 83¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,525 | +$375 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,806 | 38.8¢ | 92¢ | $3,502 | +$2,024 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 73 | 86¢ | 90.5¢ | $66 | +$3.29 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? | No | 10.5k | 54.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,709 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$600 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in April? | No | 3,000 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,320 | $0 | |
| Will Solana reach $150 in April? | No | 2,144 | 47.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,010 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 2,000 | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$364 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31? | No | 1,903 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$666 | $0 |
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